Twitter Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TWTR -- USA Stock  

  Potential Future Growth

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Twitter which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Twitter hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Twitter from the prospective of Twitter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Twitter over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Twitter Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Twitter After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Twitter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 11, 2019
29.34
Current Value
29.05
After-hype Price
38.32
Upside
Twitter is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Twitter is based on 3 months time horizon.

Twitter Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.50  3.09% 0.29   0.23  10 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.3429.050.99 
542.11

Twitter Hype Timeline

Twitter is at this time traded for29.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. Twitter is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 29.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 542.11%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.99% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Twitter is about 680.62% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.11. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Twitter was at this time reported as 10.87. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87. Twitter had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Also please take a look at Twitter Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Twitter Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AirMedia Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Sohu Com Limited(0.20) 10 per month 2.09  0.07  5.98 (3.64)  16.05 
Twitter(0.57) 10 per month 0.00 (0.18)  2.82 (2.80)  25.28 
General Electric Company 0.06 9 per month 2.48  0.09  5.30 (3.42)  14.61 
Quad Graphics(0.40) 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  5.76 (6.60)  63.72 
Dun Bradstreet Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.26 (0.20)  0.38 (0.38)  1.46 
Sirius XM Holdings(0.02) 11 per month 0.89  0.10  1.84 (1.46)  5.33 
SP Global 1.62 9 per month 1.56 (0.049)  2.17 (2.64)  6.42 
Weibo Corporation(5.40) 10 per month 2.46  0.17  5.78 (4.00)  24.85 
JP Morgan Chase Co 0.37 8 per month 1.14  0.13  2.48 (1.99)  5.77 
Also please take a look at Twitter Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing money flow index and other technical indicators.
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