Under Armour A Stock Price Prediction
UAA Stock | USD 6.85 0.07 1.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
28
Oversold | Overbought |
Under Armour A stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Under Armour shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Under Armour's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Under Armour and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Under Armour's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Under Armour A, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Under Armour's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.52 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6 | Wall Street Target Price 9.13 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Under Armour based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Under stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Under Armour over a specific investment horizon. Using Under Armour hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Under Armour A from the perspective of Under Armour response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Under Armour using Under Armour's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Under using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Under Armour's stock price.
Under Armour Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Under Armour's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Under. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Under Armour stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Under Armour may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Under Armour and may potentially protect profits, hedge Under Armour with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.6512 | Short Percent 0.0878 | Short Ratio 2.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 15.7 M | 50 Day MA 7.617 |
Under Armour A Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Under Armour's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Under. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Under can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Under Armour A. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Under Armour's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Under Armour.
Under Armour Implied Volatility | 74.53 |
Under Armour's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Under Armour A stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Under Armour's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Under Armour stock will not fluctuate a lot when Under Armour's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Under Armour. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Under Armour to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Under because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Under Armour after-hype prediction price | USD 6.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Under contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Under Armour A will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.66% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Under Armour trading at USD 6.85, that is roughly USD 0.32 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Under Armour's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Under Armour A options at the current volatility level of 74.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Under |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Under Armour's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Under Armour After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Under Armour at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Under Armour or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Under Armour, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Under Armour Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Under Armour's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Under Armour's historical news coverage. Under Armour's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.56 and 9.12, respectively. We have considered Under Armour's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Under Armour is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Under Armour A is based on 3 months time horizon.
Under Armour Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Under Armour is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Under Armour backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Under Armour, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.28 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.85 | 6.84 | 0.15 |
|
Under Armour Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April Under Armour A is traded for 6.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Under is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Under Armour is about 1171.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.88. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Under Armour A has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of April 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Under Armour Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Under Armour Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Under Armour's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Under Armour's future price movements. Getting to know how Under Armour's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Under Armour may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
LEVI | Levi Strauss Co | (0.16) | 7 per month | 1.63 | 0.19 | 3.65 | (3.07) | 15.55 | |
HBI | Hanesbrands | 0.17 | 10 per month | 3.78 | 0.07 | 5.76 | (6.93) | 17.57 | |
VFC | VF Corporation | 0.07 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.59 | (5.81) | 21.77 | |
RL | Ralph Lauren Corp | (0.93) | 11 per month | 1.47 | 0.09 | 2.39 | (2.52) | 21.36 | |
OXM | Oxford Industries | (1.00) | 6 per month | 1.91 | 0.05 | 3.66 | (3.66) | 10.60 | |
GIL | Gildan Activewear | 0.18 | 11 per month | 1.16 | 0.05 | 2.62 | (2.07) | 12.23 | |
KTB | Kontoor Brands | 0.85 | 10 per month | 2.41 | (0.01) | 2.59 | (3.45) | 13.13 | |
PVH | PVH Corp | 2.27 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.83 | (2.81) | 28.29 | |
GIII | G III Apparel Group | 0.10 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.81 | (4.72) | 17.12 | |
UA | Under Armour C | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.70 | (2.99) | 15.25 | |
COLM | Columbia Sportswear | 0.54 | 8 per month | 1.82 | (0.04) | 2.40 | (2.63) | 8.20 |
Under Armour Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Under price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Under using various technical indicators. When you analyze Under charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Under Armour Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Under Armour stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Under Armour A, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Under Armour based on analysis of Under Armour hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Under Armour's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Under Armour's related companies. 2019 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 49.11 | 43.02 | 51.51 | PTB Ratio | 4.02 | 4.03 | 3.82 |
Story Coverage note for Under Armour
The number of cover stories for Under Armour depends on current market conditions and Under Armour's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Under Armour is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Under Armour's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Under Armour Short Properties
Under Armour's future price predictability will typically decrease when Under Armour's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Under Armour A often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Under Armour's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Under Armour's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 461.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 711.9 M |
Check out Under Armour Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Under Armour A information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Under Armour's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Under Stock analysis
When running Under Armour's price analysis, check to measure Under Armour's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Under Armour is operating at the current time. Most of Under Armour's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Under Armour's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Under Armour's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Under Armour to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas |
Is Under Armour's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Under Armour. If investors know Under will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Under Armour listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Earnings Share 0.89 | Revenue Per Share 13.038 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0346 |
The market value of Under Armour A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Under that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Under Armour's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Under Armour's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Under Armour's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Under Armour's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Under Armour's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Under Armour is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Under Armour's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.