Ulta Beauty Stock Analysis
ULTA Stock | USD 419.27 1.29 0.31% |
Ulta Beauty is fairly valued with Real Value of 415.25 and Target Price of 528.62. The main objective of Ulta Beauty stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ulta Beauty is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ulta Beauty's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Ulta Beauty's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Ulta Beauty's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Ulta Beauty stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Ulta Beauty is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Ulta Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Ulta Beauty's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Ulta |
Ulta Stock Analysis Notes
About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. Ulta Beauty recorded earning per share (EPS) of 26.04. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2012. Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a retailer of beauty products in the United States. Ulta Beauty, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois. Ulta Beauty operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 16500 people. For more information please call Mary Dillon at 630 410 4800 or visit https://www.ulta.com.Ulta Beauty Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Ulta Beauty Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Ulta Beauty's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Ulta Beauty or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Ulta Beauty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ulta stock downturn is simply normalizing, analyst says |
Ulta Beauty Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Ulta Beauty to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Ulta Beauty previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
23rd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of January 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
14th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
31st of October 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of January 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Ulta Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ulta Beauty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2008-09-04 | 2008-07-31 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
2008-06-04 | 2008-04-30 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2009-03-19 | 2009-01-31 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 10 |
Ulta Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Ulta Beauty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ulta Beauty backward and forwards among themselves. Ulta Beauty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Ulta Beauty's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 545.9 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 537.1 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 506.3 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 489.3 K | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 477.5 K | Alecta Pensionsforsakring, Omsesidigt | 2023-12-31 | 451.4 K | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2023-12-31 | 422.9 K | Td Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 407.3 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 396.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.5 M |
Ulta Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 20.18 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Ulta Beauty's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Ulta Beauty's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Ulta Profitablity
Ulta Beauty's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Ulta Beauty's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Ulta Beauty is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Ulta Beauty's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Ulta Beauty's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Ulta Beauty's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.12 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.15 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.15. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.23 | 0.13 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.41 | 0.25 | |
Return On Assets | 0.23 | 0.13 | |
Return On Equity | 0.57 | 0.21 |
Management Efficiency
Ulta Beauty has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1894 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1894 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.6091 %, meaning that it created $0.6091 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Ulta Beauty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ulta Beauty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of April 24, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to 0.13. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to 0.25. At present, Ulta Beauty's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 3 B, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to grow to (500 M).Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 46.23 | 19.39 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 46.00 | 19.39 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 13.44 | 14.94 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 10.93 | 6.80 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 13.44 | 14.94 | |
Price Fair Value | 10.93 | 6.80 | |
Enterprise Value | 148.2 M | 140.8 M |
The analysis of Ulta Beauty's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Ulta Beauty's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Ulta Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta 1.306 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 24th of April, Ulta Beauty has the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), coefficient of variation of (1,430), and Variance of 5.6. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Ulta Beauty, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirteen technical drivers for Ulta Beauty, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Ulta Beauty market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and value at risk to decide if Ulta Beauty is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 419.27 per share. Given that Ulta Beauty has information ratio of (0.11), we advise you to double-check Ulta Beauty's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Ulta Beauty Price Movement Analysis
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Ulta Beauty middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Ulta Beauty. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Ulta Beauty Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ulta Beauty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ulta Beauty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ulta Beauty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
David Kimbell over two weeks ago Acquisition by David Kimbell of 182 shares of Ulta Beauty at 522.88 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
David Kimbell over three weeks ago Acquisition by David Kimbell of 182 shares of Ulta Beauty at 522.88 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Jodi Caro over three weeks ago Acquisition by Jodi Caro of 1462 shares of Ulta Beauty at 545.67 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Kecia Steelman over six months ago Ulta Beauty exotic insider transaction detected | ||
Kecia Steelman over six months ago Payment of 946 shares by Kecia Steelman of Ulta Beauty subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Sisteron Yves over six months ago Ulta Beauty exotic insider transaction detected | ||
Severts Jeffrey T over six months ago Exercise or conversion by Severts Jeffrey T of 1515 shares of Ulta Beauty subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Ulta Beauty Predictive Daily Indicators
Ulta Beauty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ulta Beauty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Accumulation Distribution | 12351.93 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1702 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
Day Median Price | 421.06 | |||
Day Typical Price | 420.46 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (1.15) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 1.29 |
Ulta Beauty Corporate Filings
13A | 5th of April 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
8K | 4th of April 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F3 | 2nd of April 2024 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
10K | 26th of March 2024 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance | ViewVerify |
F4 | 21st of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 19th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 14th of March 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 21st of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
Ulta Beauty Forecast Models
Ulta Beauty's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ulta Beauty's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ulta Beauty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Ulta Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ulta Beauty prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ulta shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ulta Beauty. By using and applying Ulta Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ulta entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.15 | 0.13 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.15 | 0.13 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.12 | 0.08 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.39 | 0.35 |
Current Ulta Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ulta analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ulta analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
528.62 | Buy | 31 | Odds |
Most Ulta analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ulta stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ulta Beauty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ulta conference calls.
Ulta Stock Analysis Indicators
Ulta Beauty stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ulta Beauty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ulta Beauty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ulta Beauty stock analysis, traders can identify Ulta Beauty position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 737.9 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 2.3 B | |
Capital Lease Obligations | 1.9 B | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 2.8 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 766.6 M | |
Cash | 766.6 M | |
50 Day M A | 509.544 | |
Net Interest Income | 17.6 M | |
Total Current Liabilities | 1.7 B | |
Forward Price Earnings | 16.3132 | |
Investments | -441.4 M | |
Interest Expense | 17.6 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 48.2 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.6 M | |
Tax Provision | 404.6 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.209 | |
Other Current Assets | 25.6 M | |
Accounts Payable | 544 M | |
Net Debt | 1.1 B | |
Other Operating Expenses | 9.5 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 2.9 B | |
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 5.7 B | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | -526.3 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ulta Beauty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. For information on how to trade Ulta Stock refer to our How to Trade Ulta Stock guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Ulta Stock analysis
When running Ulta Beauty's price analysis, check to measure Ulta Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ulta Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of Ulta Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ulta Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ulta Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ulta Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ulta Beauty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ulta Beauty. If investors know Ulta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ulta Beauty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.209 | Earnings Share 26.04 | Revenue Per Share 227.31 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.102 | Return On Assets 0.1894 |
The market value of Ulta Beauty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ulta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ulta Beauty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ulta Beauty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ulta Beauty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ulta Beauty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ulta Beauty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ulta Beauty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ulta Beauty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.