Union Bank (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

UNIONBANK -- India Stock  

INR 70.95  0.55  0.78%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Union Bank of India which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Union Bank hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Union Bank of India from the prospective of Union Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Union Bank over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Union Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Union Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Union Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 17, 2019
70.95
Current Value
71.21
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
79.61
Upside
Union Bank is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Union Bank is based on 2 months time horizon.

Union Bank Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.40% 2.80% 0.26%  1.44% 4 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
70.9571.210.37%
430.77% 

Union Bank Hype Timeline

Union Bank is at this time traded for 70.95on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.44. Union Bank of India is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 71.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 430.77%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.37% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Union Bank is about 77.67% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 69.51. The company reported revenue of 7.44B. Net Loss for the year was (52.12B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.44B. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Also please take a look at Union Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Union Bank Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HDFC Bank Limited 16.05 6 per month 0.87 (0.07)  1.19 (1.64)  3.40 
HDFC Bank Limited(28.60) 5 per month 0.82 (0.08)  1.25 (1.83)  3.73 
STATE BANK OF INDIA(2.85) 6 per month 0.00 (0.1)  2.55 (2.77)  5.97 
Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited 22.20 1 per month 1.44  0.0449  4.61 (2.33)  13.18 
ICICI Bank Limited(0.80) 7 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.63 (2.90)  8.18 
Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited(7.45) 1 per month 1.33  0.0464  5.08 (2.35)  13.50 
Axis Bank Limited 6.75 4 per month 1.20  0.11  4.57 (2.42)  6.83 
Axis Bank Limited(13.05) 4 per month 1.24  0.11  4.56 (2.55)  7.37 
IndusInd Bank Limited(18.85) 5 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.16 (2.80)  7.29 
IndusInd Bank Limited(9.45) 3 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.02 (2.31)  7.42 

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Also please take a look at Union Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
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