United Overseas Bank Stock Price Prediction

UOVEY Stock  USD 43.24  0.06  0.14%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of United Overseas' share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling United Overseas' stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
United Overseas Bank stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of United Overseas shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of United Overseas' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of United Overseas and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from United Overseas' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Overseas Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of United Overseas based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The United stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United Overseas over a specific investment horizon. Using United Overseas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Overseas Bank from the perspective of United Overseas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in United Overseas. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Overseas to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

United Overseas after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out United Overseas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Overseas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United Overseas in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.1436.0247.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.3844.2645.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.8242.6843.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Overseas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Overseas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Overseas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in United Overseas Bank.

United Overseas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of United Overseas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Overseas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of United Overseas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

United Overseas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting United Overseas' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Overseas' historical news coverage. United Overseas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.58 and 44.34, respectively. We have considered United Overseas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
43.24
43.46
After-hype Price
44.34
Upside
United Overseas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Overseas Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

United Overseas Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Overseas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Overseas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Overseas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.88
  0.22 
  0.01 
19 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 19 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.24
43.46
0.51 
35.34  
Notes

United Overseas Hype Timeline

United Overseas Bank is at this time traded for 43.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. United is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 43.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 35.34%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.51% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on United Overseas is about 740.19% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 43.23. The company reported the revenue of 9.79 B. Net Income was 4.08 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.13 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 19 days.
Check out United Overseas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United Overseas Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to United Overseas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Overseas' future price movements. Getting to know how United Overseas rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Overseas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MUFGMitsubishi UFJ Financial(0.03)9 per month 1.37  0.08  2.51 (2.22) 9.77 
MBFJFMitsubishi UFJ Financial 0.00 0 per month 1.69  0.07  4.60 (3.10) 10.73 
SMFGSumitomo Mitsui Financial(0.03)10 per month 1.70  0.06  2.69 (2.01) 8.15 
SMFNFSumitomo Mitsui Financial 0.00 0 per month 2.90  0.05  5.67 (5.52) 15.98 
KBKB Financial Group 0.15 12 per month 1.48  0.15  6.77 (2.55) 15.32 
MFGMizuho Financial Group 0.01 9 per month 1.42  0.06  3.28 (2.62) 9.55 
MZHOFMizuho Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  2.35  0.00  12.17 
SHGShinhan Financial Group(0.40)9 per month 1.56  0.15  3.80 (2.66) 10.29 
ABNBAirbnbInc(0.77)8 per month 1.63  0.04  4.03 (3.28) 9.89 

United Overseas Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About United Overseas Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of United Overseas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Overseas Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Overseas based on analysis of United Overseas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Overseas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Overseas's related companies.

Story Coverage note for United Overseas

The number of cover stories for United Overseas depends on current market conditions and United Overseas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Overseas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Overseas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

United Overseas Short Properties

United Overseas' future price predictability will typically decrease when United Overseas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Overseas Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Overseas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Overseas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding838.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments69.9 B
Check out United Overseas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the United Overseas Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Overseas' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running United Overseas' price analysis, check to measure United Overseas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Overseas is operating at the current time. Most of United Overseas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Overseas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Overseas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Overseas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between United Overseas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Overseas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Overseas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.