Vanguard Emerging Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

VEMAX -- USA Fund  

USD 35.35  0.35  1.00%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Vanguard Emerging hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock from the prospective of Vanguard Emerging response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vanguard Emerging over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Vanguard Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Vanguard Emerging After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Vanguard Emerging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 22, 2019
35.35
Current Value
35.38
After-hype Price
37.84
Upside
Vanguard Emerging is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanguard Emerging is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vanguard Emerging Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10  0.82% 0.03   0.01  1 Events / Month4 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.3535.380.08 
264.52

Vanguard Emerging Hype Timeline

Vanguard Emerging is at this time traded for35.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 35.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 264.52%. The closing price rise on the next news is anticipated to be 0.08% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Vanguard Emerging is about 738.74% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 35.36. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at Vanguard Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vanguard Emerging Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock In 0.00 0 per month 0.91 (0.0261)  1.37 (1.57)  4.13 
Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock 0.31 1 per month 0.83 (0.0266)  1.39 (1.50)  3.85 
Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.83 (0.025)  1.36 (1.48)  3.90 
Invesco Oppenheimer Developing 0.00 2 per month 0.73  0.0077  1.27 (1.25)  3.91 
Invesco Oppenheimer Developing(0.17) 1 per month 0.83  0.0131  1.35 (1.32)  4.27 
Invesco Oppenheimer Developing 0.10 1 per month 0.87  0.011  1.31 (1.59)  3.95 
New World Fund Inc Class 529 0.39 10 per month 0.71 (0.0106)  1.14 (1.02)  4.51 
New World Fund Inc Class F 0.17 9 per month 0.64 (0.009)  1.06 (1.01)  3.86 
DFA Emerging Markets Core Equi 0.24 2 per month 0.86 (0.0186)  1.42 (1.24)  5.13 
Fidelity Series Emerging Market 0.07 10 per month 0.79  0.024  1.23 (1.64)  4.34 
Also please take a look at Vanguard Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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