Correlation Between Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Invesco Municipal Income and Fidelity Municipal Income, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Invesco Municipal with a short position of Fidelity Municipal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal.

Diversification Opportunities for Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal

0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Invesco and Fidelity is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding INVESCO MUNICIPAL INCOME and FIDELITY MUNICIPAL INCOME in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Fidelity Municipal Income and Invesco Municipal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Invesco Municipal Income are associated (or correlated) with Fidelity Municipal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Fidelity Municipal Income has no effect on the direction of Invesco Municipal i.e., Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal

Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Municipal Income is expected to generate 1.12 times more return on investment than Fidelity Municipal. However, Invesco Municipal is 1.12 times more volatile than Fidelity Municipal Income. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Fidelity Municipal Income is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,197  in Invesco Municipal Income on December 29, 2023 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.00  from holding Invesco Municipal Income or generate 0.25% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

INVESCO MUNICIPAL INCOME  vs.  FIDELITY MUNICIPAL INCOME

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Invesco Municipal Income 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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High
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Invesco Municipal Income has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Invesco Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Fidelity Municipal Income 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Low
 
High
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Fidelity Municipal Income has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Fidelity Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Invesco Municipal and Fidelity Municipal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Invesco Municipal position performs unexpectedly, Fidelity Municipal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fidelity Municipal will offset losses from the drop in Fidelity Municipal's long position.
The idea behind Invesco Municipal Income and Fidelity Municipal Income pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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