Correlation Between Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt and Vanguard Long Term Tax Exempt, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard High with a short position of Vanguard Long-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt and Vanguard Long Term Tax Exempt in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Long Term and Vanguard High is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Long-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Long Term has no effect on the direction of Vanguard High i.e., Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt is expected to generate 1.08 times more return on investment than Vanguard Long-term. However, Vanguard High is 1.08 times more volatile than Vanguard Long Term Tax Exempt. It trades about -0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Long Term Tax Exempt is currently generating about -0.27 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,067  in Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt on January 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (12.00) from holding Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt or give up 1.12% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt  vs.  Vanguard Long Term Tax Exempt

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard High Yield 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong essential indicators, Vanguard High is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Long Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Long Term Tax Exempt has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Long-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard High and Vanguard Long-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard High position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Long-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Long-term will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Long-term's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt and Vanguard Long Term Tax Exempt pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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