Wayfair Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

W -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wayfair which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Wayfair hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Wayfair from the prospective of Wayfair response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wayfair over a specific investment horizon. See also Wayfair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Wayfair After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Wayfair Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 19, 2019
84.28
Current Value
83.82
After-hype Price
95.91
Upside
Wayfair is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wayfair is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wayfair Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.40  4.01% 0.12   1.58  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
84.2883.820.13 
1,294

Wayfair Hype Timeline

As of November 19, 2019 Wayfair is listed for 84.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.58. Wayfair is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 83.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1293.55%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.13% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Wayfair is about 101.75% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 85.86. The company reported annual revenue of 8.61 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (798.21 M) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.59 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
See also Wayfair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wayfair Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Amazon Com 29.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.53 (1.68)  4.67 
EBay Inc 6 0 Percent Notes Due 2056 0.09 1 per month 0.00 (0.27)  0.72 (1.07)  3.17 
MercadoLibre 5.11 12 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.71 (4.23)  8.91 
Best Buy Co(1.13) 10 per month 1.93  0.08  2.76 (2.30)  10.74 
Carvana Co 1.46 9 per month 2.97  0.008  4.68 (4.27)  15.98 
Etsy 0.78 11 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.62 (4.72)  20.99 
Yamada Denki Fgn 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0356  0.00  0.00  11.47 
Liberty Interactive Corporation 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.80 (6.71)  20.65 
Liberty Interactive Corporation 0.14 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.64 (5.00)  13.71 
See also Wayfair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Equity Search module to search for activelly-traded equities including funds and etfs from over 30 global markets.
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