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Wayfair Stock Price Prediction

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W -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: February 28, 2020  

Wayfair Gross Margin is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the last year. Wayfair reported Gross Margin of 26.92 in 2019. Sales per Share is likely to grow to 73.57 in 2020, whereas Accounts Payable Turnover is likely to drop 10.55 in 2020. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wayfair, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Wayfair hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wayfair from the perspective of Wayfair response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The Wayfair stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wayfair over a specific investment horizon. Check out Wayfair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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Wayfair After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Wayfair Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
70.65
February 26, 2020
69.73
After-hype Price
79.66
Upside
Wayfair is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wayfair is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wayfair Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.25  3.30  2.32   0.08  11 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
70.6569.732.48 
35.48  

Wayfair Hype Timeline

As of February 26, 2020 Wayfair is listed for 70.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.32 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Wayfair is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 69.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 35.48%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -2.48% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Wayfair is about 1024.14% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 70.57. About 124.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded loss per share of 8.73. Wayfair had not issued any dividends in recent years. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Wayfair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wayfair Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MercadoLibre(4.31) 7 per month 2.53  0.11  3.57 (4.79)  15.84 
Liberty Interactive Corporation 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.0044  5.71 (5.44)  19.96 
Etsy 0.32 10 per month 1.49  0.19  3.78 (2.81)  9.36 
JD Com 0.44 7 per month 1.50  0.19  3.11 (2.60)  11.90 
Liberty Interactive Corporation 0.32 5 per month 0.00 (0.0058)  4.11 (4.53)  12.28 
EBay 0.27 8 per month 1.56  0.07  2.34 (2.46)  13.52 
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.45) 10 per month 1.73  0.06  3.94 (2.77)  8.99 
Carvana Co(0.19) 11 per month 2.79  0.1  6.00 (4.82)  15.94 
Alibaba Group Holding Limited 0.70 10 per month 1.39  0.12  3.23 (2.46)  7.61 
Check out Wayfair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
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