Walgreens Boots Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

WBA -- USA Stock  

USD 50.48  1.19  2.41%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Walgreens Boots Alliance which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Walgreens Boots hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Walgreens Boots Alliance from the prospective of Walgreens Boots response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Walgreens Boots over a specific investment horizon. See also Walgreens Boots Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Walgreens Boots After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Walgreens Boots Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 19, 2019
50.48
Current Value
50.43
After-hype Price
54.96
Upside
Walgreens Boots is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Walgreens Boots Alli is based on 2 months time horizon.

Walgreens Boots Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10% 1.53% 0.05%  0.01% 8 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
50.4850.430.10%
278.18% 

Walgreens Boots Hype Timeline

On 19 of August Walgreens Boots Alli is traded for 50.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Walgreens Boots Alliance is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 50.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 278.18%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Walgreens Boots is about 2508.2% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 50.47. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.99. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Walgreens Boots Alli recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.11. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-08-19. The firm had 2:1 split on 1999-02-16. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
See also Walgreens Boots Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Walgreens Boots Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.05) 9 per month 0.00  0.0025  4.89 (4.72)  13.23 
Barnes Noble 0.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.07 (1.75)  3.43 
Rite Aid Corporation 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.05)  7.12 (7.70)  31.83 
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc Na 0.06 7 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.38 (5.16)  17.39 
Sprouts Farmers Market 0.93 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.88 (3.44)  10.77 
Spectrum Brands Holdings(0.81) 9 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.17 (2.97)  7.83 
SuperValu 0.00 0 per month 0.00  1.55  0.00  0.00  0.06 
Sysco Corporation(1.01) 8 per month 0.96  0.06  1.87 (1.52)  4.63 
Target Corporation 0.79 9 per month 0.00 (0.0262)  2.00 (2.22)  6.11 
Walgreens Boots Alliance(0.55) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0498)  2.06 (2.31)  9.10 

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