Wells Fargo Stock Price Prediction

WFC Stock  USD 57.77  0.26  0.45%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Wells Fargo's share price is above 70 at the present time. This entails that its stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

77

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Wells Fargo stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wells Fargo shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wells Fargo's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wells Fargo and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wells Fargo's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wells Fargo, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Wells Fargo's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.15
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.09
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.77
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.36
Wall Street Target Price
57.27
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wells Fargo based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wells stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wells Fargo over a specific investment horizon. Using Wells Fargo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wells Fargo from the perspective of Wells Fargo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wells Fargo using Wells Fargo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wells using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wells Fargo's stock price.

Wells Fargo Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Wells Fargo's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Wells. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Wells Fargo stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Wells Fargo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Wells Fargo and may potentially protect profits, hedge Wells Fargo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
45.1351
Short Percent
0.0099
Short Ratio
1.81
Shares Short Prior Month
30.7 M
50 Day MA
51.5482

Wells Fargo Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Wells Fargo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Wells. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wells can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Wells Fargo. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Wells Fargo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Wells Fargo.

Wells Fargo Implied Volatility

    
  27.8  
Wells Fargo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wells Fargo stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wells Fargo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wells Fargo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wells Fargo's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wells Fargo. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wells Fargo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wells because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Wells Fargo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 57.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wells contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Wells Fargo will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.74% per day over the life of the 2024-03-22 option contract. With Wells Fargo trading at USD 57.77, that is roughly USD 1.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wells Fargo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Wells Fargo options at the current volatility level of 27.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Wells Stock refer to our How to Trade Wells Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Wells Fargo in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.1657.6159.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.0456.5057.95
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.0650.6156.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.951.101.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wells Fargo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wells Fargo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wells Fargo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wells Fargo.

Wells Fargo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wells Fargo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wells Fargo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wells Fargo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Wells Fargo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wells Fargo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wells Fargo's historical news coverage. Wells Fargo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.13 and 59.03, respectively. We have considered Wells Fargo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
57.77
57.58
After-hype Price
59.03
Upside
Wells Fargo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wells Fargo is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wells Fargo Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wells Fargo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wells Fargo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wells Fargo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
1.44
  0.07 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
57.77
57.58
0.12 
496.55  
Notes

Wells Fargo Hype Timeline

On the 18th of March 2024 Wells Fargo is traded for 57.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Wells is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 57.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.12% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Wells Fargo is about 6171.43% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 57.76. The company reported the last year's revenue of 82.6 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 19.03 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 72.25 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Wells Stock refer to our How to Trade Wells Stock guide.

Wells Fargo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wells Fargo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wells Fargo's future price movements. Getting to know how Wells Fargo rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wells Fargo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Wells Fargo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wells price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wells using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wells charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Wells Fargo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Wells Fargo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wells Fargo, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wells Fargo based on analysis of Wells Fargo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wells Fargo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wells Fargo's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio2.52.152.222.18
Price Earnings Ratio8.8911.589.5711.3

Story Coverage note for Wells Fargo

The number of cover stories for Wells Fargo depends on current market conditions and Wells Fargo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wells Fargo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wells Fargo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Wells Fargo Short Properties

Wells Fargo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wells Fargo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wells Fargo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wells Fargo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wells Fargo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments113.5 B
When determining whether Wells Fargo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Wells Fargo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wells Fargo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wells Fargo Stock:
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Wells Stock refer to our How to Trade Wells Stock guide.
Note that the Wells Fargo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wells Fargo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Wells Stock analysis

When running Wells Fargo's price analysis, check to measure Wells Fargo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wells Fargo is operating at the current time. Most of Wells Fargo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wells Fargo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wells Fargo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wells Fargo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wells Fargo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.15
Dividend Share
1.3
Earnings Share
4.83
Revenue Per Share
20.931
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wells Fargo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.