Exxon Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

XOM -- USA Stock  

  Trading Volume Increase

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Exxon Mobil Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Exxon hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Exxon Mobil Corporation from the prospective of Exxon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Exxon over a specific investment horizon. See also Exxon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Exxon After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Exxon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 22, 2019
67.61
Current Value
67.42
After-hype Price
71.41
Upside
Exxon is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exxon Mobil is based on 3 months time horizon.

Exxon Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10  1.33% 0.19   0.01  10 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.6167.420.28 
70.74

Exxon Hype Timeline

On 22 of October Exxon Mobil is traded for 67.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Exxon Mobil Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 67.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 70.74%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.28% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Exxon is about 2375.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 67.6. About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Exxon Mobil has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.87. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-08-12. The firm had 2:1 split on 2001-07-19. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
See also Exxon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Exxon Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Southwestern Energy Company(0.04) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0301)  8.33 (7.65)  24.34 
Whiting Petroleum Corporation 0.28 12 per month 0.00 (0.09)  8.45 (9.59)  65.06 
Western Gas Equity Partners LP Representing Limited Partner Interests 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation 0.56 6 per month 0.00  0.12  1.09 (0.74)  29,820 
QEP Resources 0.09 10 per month 0.00 (0.13)  8.78 (9.79)  38.95 
Range Resources Corporation 0.20 12 per month 0.00 (0.06)  10.49 (7.73)  26.02 
SM Energy Company(0.71) 11 per month 0.00 (0.0426)  9.01 (8.69)  48.94 
Newfield Exploration Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12)  4.45 (5.05)  19.21 
Western Midstream Partners LP(0.28) 10 per month 0.00 (0.15)  3.26 (3.64)  14.11 
Pioneer Natural Resources Compa(0.66) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0447)  3.51 (4.27)  10.83 
See also Exxon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing balance of power indicator and other technical ratios.
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