Alleghany Price Prediction
| YDelisted Stock | USD 847.79 0.02 0% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Alleghany stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Alleghany shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Alleghany's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Alleghany and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Alleghany's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alleghany, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether delisted stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Alleghany based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Alleghany stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alleghany over a specific investment horizon. Using Alleghany hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alleghany from the perspective of Alleghany response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Alleghany. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alleghany to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alleghany because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alleghany after-hype prediction price | USD 847.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alleghany |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alleghany's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alleghany After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alleghany at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alleghany or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alleghany, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alleghany Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alleghany's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alleghany's historical news coverage. Alleghany's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 847.79 and 847.79, respectively. We have considered Alleghany's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alleghany is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alleghany is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alleghany Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alleghany is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alleghany backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alleghany, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
847.79 | 847.79 | 0.00 |
|
Alleghany Hype Timeline
As of April 16, 2024 Alleghany is listed for 847.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alleghany is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alleghany is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 847.79. About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.36. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Alleghany has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.19. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.04. The firm last dividend was issued on the 4th of March 2020. Alleghany had 51:50 split on the 30th of March 2011. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.Alleghany Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alleghany's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alleghany's future price movements. Getting to know how Alleghany's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alleghany may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corp | 0.07 | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0 | 2.09 | (2.22) | 10.93 | |
| GMXTF | GMxico Transportes SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 3.18 | (0.45) | 33.46 | |
| EGLE | Eagle Bulk Shipping | (0.62) | 8 per month | 1.55 | 0.07 | 2.76 | (2.48) | 7.30 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (1.03) | 11 per month | 0.97 | 0.04 | 1.46 | (1.56) | 7.42 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | (0.42) | 8 per month | 1.45 | (0.03) | 2.05 | (2.46) | 8.20 | |
| TRMD | Torm PLC Class | 0.66 | 4 per month | 1.82 | (0.01) | 2.99 | (2.92) | 8.78 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.94 | (0.07) | 1.24 | (1.50) | 3.65 | |
| GV | Visionary Education Technology | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.25 | (5.88) | 28.75 |
Alleghany Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alleghany price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alleghany using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alleghany charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alleghany Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alleghany stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alleghany, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alleghany based on analysis of Alleghany hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alleghany's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alleghany's related companies. Story Coverage note for Alleghany
The number of cover stories for Alleghany depends on current market conditions and Alleghany's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alleghany is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alleghany's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Alleghany Short Properties
Alleghany's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alleghany's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alleghany often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alleghany's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alleghany's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 3.71% | |
| Short Percent Of Float | 3.82% | |
| Float Shares | 12.99M | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 458.08k | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 86.84k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 72.65k | |
| Date Short Interest | 30th of September 2022 |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Other Consideration for investing in Alleghany Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Alleghany check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Alleghany's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements |