Virtus Total Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ZF -- USA Stock  

USD 11.51  0.03  0.26%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Virtus Total Return Fund which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Virtus Total hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Virtus Total Return Fund from the prospective of Virtus Total response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Virtus Total over a specific investment horizon. See also Virtus Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Virtus Total After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Virtus Total Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 18, 2019
11.51
Current Value
11.51
After-hype Price
13.82
Upside
Virtus Total is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virtus Total Return is based on 3 months time horizon.

Virtus Total Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09  0.77% 0.00   0.12  7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.5111.510.00 
2,567

Virtus Total Hype Timeline

As of October 18, 2019 Virtus Total Return is listed for 11.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.12. Virtus Total Return Fund is suggested not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 2566.67%. The immediate return on the next news is suggested to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Virtus Total is about 56.08%%. The volatility of related hype on Virtus Total is about 56.08% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.39. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Virtus Total Return last dividend was issued on 2019-07-10. The entity had a split on 2012-06-27. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 7 days.
See also Virtus Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Virtus Total Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BlackRock(11.94) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0232)  2.18 (3.07)  5.56 
The Blackstone Group L P 0.62 9 per month 1.87  0.06  3.30 (3.34)  9.42 
Brookfield Asset Management 0.60 9 per month 1.05  0.15  1.77 (2.09)  4.39 
Bank Of New York Mellon Corpora(0.91) 5 per month 1.87  0.0232  1.88 (3.23)  10.20 
T Rowe Price Group 1.08 8 per month 1.76  0.0238  2.24 (2.58)  6.42 
State Street Corporation 0.21 6 per month 1.76  0.07  3.29 (3.34)  12.88 
Northern Trust Corporation(1.81) 9 per month 1.81  0.0473  2.92 (3.26)  9.41 
KKR Co Inc 6 50 Percent Series B P(0.08) 1 per month 0.56  0.0192  0.56 (0.60)  3.42 
Northern Trust Corporation De(0.02) 9 per month 0.26  0.0417  0.39 (0.28)  1.88 
Ameriprise Financial(1.48) 11 per month 0.00 (0.0212)  2.97 (4.10)  9.23 

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See also Virtus Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
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