Correlation Between Fossil and Birks

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Fossil and Birks at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Fossil and Birks into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Fossil Group and Birks Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Fossil and Birks and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Fossil with a short position of Birks. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Fossil and Birks.

Diversification Opportunities for Fossil and Birks

0.79
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Fossil and Birks is 0.79. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Fossil Group and Birks Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Birks Group and Fossil is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Fossil Group are associated (or correlated) with Birks. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Birks Group has no effect on the direction of Fossil i.e., Fossil and Birks go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Fossil and Birks

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fossil Group is expected to under-perform the Birks. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Fossil Group is 1.01 times less risky than Birks. The stock trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Birks Group is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  274.00  in Birks Group on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (5.00) from holding Birks Group or give up 1.82% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Fossil Group  vs.  Birks Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Fossil Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Fossil Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in May 2024. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Birks Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Birks Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in May 2024. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.

Fossil and Birks Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Fossil and Birks

The main advantage of trading using opposite Fossil and Birks positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Fossil position performs unexpectedly, Birks can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Birks will offset losses from the drop in Birks' long position.
The idea behind Fossil Group and Birks Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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