Correlation Between Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Middlefield Banc with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp

0.91

Correlation Coefficient

Middlefield Banc  First Bancorp

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Middlefield and First is 0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and Middlefield Banc is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Middlefield Banc are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Middlefield Banc i.e., Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Middlefield Banc is expected to under-perform the First Bancorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Middlefield Banc is 1.35 times less risky than First Bancorp. The stock trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Bancorp is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,277  in First Bancorp on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding First Bancorp or give up 0.13% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	95.45%
Values	Daily Returns

Middlefield Banc  vs.  First Bancorp

Middlefield Banc

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Middlefield Banc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in May 2024. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

First Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's essential indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.

Pair Trading with Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Middlefield Banc position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind Middlefield Banc and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.