Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra MidCap400 and Vanguard FTSE Emerging, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of Vanguard FTSE. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Vanguard is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra MidCap400 and Vanguard FTSE Emerging in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard FTSE Emerging and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra MidCap400 are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard FTSE. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard FTSE Emerging has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra MidCap400 is expected to under-perform the Vanguard FTSE. In addition to that, ProShares Ultra is 2.56 times more volatile than Vanguard FTSE Emerging. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard FTSE Emerging is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,152  in Vanguard FTSE Emerging on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  19.00  from holding Vanguard FTSE Emerging or generate 0.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Ultra MidCap400  vs.  Vanguard FTSE Emerging

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Ultra MidCap400 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Ultra MidCap400 are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, ProShares Ultra may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
Vanguard FTSE Emerging 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard FTSE Emerging are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Vanguard FTSE is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and Vanguard FTSE positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard FTSE can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard FTSE will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard FTSE's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Ultra MidCap400 and Vanguard FTSE Emerging pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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