Correlation Between Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Overlay Shares Municipal and Vanguard Short Term Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Overlay Shares with a short position of Vanguard Short-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term

0.17
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Overlay and Vanguard is 0.17. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Overlay Shares Municipal and Vanguard Short Term Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Short Term and Overlay Shares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Overlay Shares Municipal are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Short-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Short Term has no effect on the direction of Overlay Shares i.e., Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Overlay Shares Municipal is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Short-term. In addition to that, Overlay Shares is 1.32 times more volatile than Vanguard Short Term Bond. It trades about -0.28 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Short Term Bond is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  997.00  in Vanguard Short Term Bond on January 17, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2.00) from holding Vanguard Short Term Bond or give up 0.2% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Overlay Shares Municipal  vs.  Vanguard Short Term Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Overlay Shares Municipal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Overlay Shares Municipal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Overlay Shares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Short Term Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Overlay Shares and Vanguard Short-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Overlay Shares position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Short-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Short-term will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Short-term's long position.
The idea behind Overlay Shares Municipal and Vanguard Short Term Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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