Correlation Between Rising Rates and Inverse Government

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Rising Rates and Inverse Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Rising Rates and Inverse Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Rising Rates Opportunity and Inverse Government Long, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Rising Rates and Inverse Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Rising Rates with a short position of Inverse Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Rising Rates and Inverse Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Rising Rates and Inverse Government

1.0

Correlation Coefficient

Rising Rates  Inverse Government

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Rising and Inverse is 1.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Rising Rates Opportunity and Inverse Government Long in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Inverse Government Long and Rising Rates is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Rising Rates Opportunity are associated (or correlated) with Inverse Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Inverse Government Long has no effect on the direction of Rising Rates i.e., Rising Rates and Inverse Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Rising Rates and Inverse Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Rising Rates Opportunity is expected to generate 1.27 times more return on investment than Inverse Government. However, Rising Rates is 1.27 times more volatile than Inverse Government Long. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Inverse Government Long is currently generating about 0.28 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,064  in Rising Rates Opportunity on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  268.00  from holding Rising Rates Opportunity or generate 6.59% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Rising Rates Opportunity  vs.  Inverse Government Long

Rising Rates Opportunity

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Rising Rates Opportunity are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Rising Rates may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.

Inverse Government Long

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Inverse Government Long are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Inverse Government may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.

Pair Trading with Rising Rates and Inverse Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Rising Rates and Inverse Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Rising Rates position performs unexpectedly, Inverse Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Inverse Government will offset losses from the drop in Inverse Government's long position.

The idea behind Rising Rates Opportunity and Inverse Government Long pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.