Correlation Between US Bancorp and China Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both US Bancorp and China Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining US Bancorp and China Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between US Bancorp and China Merchants Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on US Bancorp and China Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in US Bancorp with a short position of China Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of US Bancorp and China Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for US Bancorp and China Merchants

0.33
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between USB and China is 0.33. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding US Bancorp and China Merchants Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on China Merchants Bank and US Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on US Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with China Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of China Merchants Bank has no effect on the direction of US Bancorp i.e., US Bancorp and China Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between US Bancorp and China Merchants

Considering the 90-day investment horizon US Bancorp is expected to under-perform the China Merchants. In addition to that, US Bancorp is 1.19 times more volatile than China Merchants Bank. It trades about -0.23 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. China Merchants Bank is currently generating about 0.14 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,943  in China Merchants Bank on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  75.00  from holding China Merchants Bank or generate 3.86% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

US Bancorp  vs.  China Merchants Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
US Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days US Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, US Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
China Merchants Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Merchants Bank are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile forward-looking signals, China Merchants showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

US Bancorp and China Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with US Bancorp and China Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite US Bancorp and China Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if US Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, China Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in China Merchants will offset losses from the drop in China Merchants' long position.
The idea behind US Bancorp and China Merchants Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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