Correlation Between Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Stock and iShares MSCI USA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of IShares MSCI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI

0.95
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and IShares is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Stock and iShares MSCI USA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on iShares MSCI USA and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Stock are associated (or correlated) with IShares MSCI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of iShares MSCI USA has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Total is expected to generate 1.21 times less return on investment than IShares MSCI. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Total Stock is 1.04 times less risky than IShares MSCI. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. iShares MSCI USA is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  11,891  in iShares MSCI USA on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,865  from holding iShares MSCI USA or generate 32.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy99.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Total Stock  vs.  iShares MSCI USA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Total Stock 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Total Stock are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
iShares MSCI USA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in iShares MSCI USA are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, IShares MSCI is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and IShares MSCI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, IShares MSCI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IShares MSCI will offset losses from the drop in IShares MSCI's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Total Stock and iShares MSCI USA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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