Correlation Between Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt and Tax Exempt Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Intermediate with a short position of Tax Exempt. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt

0.9
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Tax is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax and Tax Exempt Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Tax Exempt Bond and Vanguard Intermediate is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt are associated (or correlated) with Tax Exempt. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Tax Exempt Bond has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Intermediate i.e., Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt is expected to generate 0.75 times more return on investment than Tax Exempt. However, Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt is 1.32 times less risky than Tax Exempt. It trades about -0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Tax Exempt Bond is currently generating about -0.25 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,363  in Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (12.00) from holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt or give up 0.88% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax  vs.  Tax Exempt Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Intermediate 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Intermediate is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Tax Exempt Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Tax Exempt Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Tax Exempt is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Intermediate position performs unexpectedly, Tax Exempt can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tax Exempt will offset losses from the drop in Tax Exempt's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt and Tax Exempt Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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