Correlation Between Exxon and ConocoPhillips

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Exxon and ConocoPhillips at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Exxon and ConocoPhillips into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Exxon Mobil Corp and ConocoPhillips, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Exxon and ConocoPhillips and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Exxon with a short position of ConocoPhillips. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Exxon and ConocoPhillips.

Diversification Opportunities for Exxon and ConocoPhillips

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Exxon and ConocoPhillips is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Exxon Mobil Corp and ConocoPhillips in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ConocoPhillips and Exxon is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Exxon Mobil Corp are associated (or correlated) with ConocoPhillips. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ConocoPhillips has no effect on the direction of Exxon i.e., Exxon and ConocoPhillips go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Exxon and ConocoPhillips

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Exxon Mobil Corp is expected to generate 1.08 times more return on investment than ConocoPhillips. However, Exxon is 1.08 times more volatile than ConocoPhillips. It trades about 0.3 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ConocoPhillips is currently generating about 0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  11,465  in Exxon Mobil Corp on January 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  591.00  from holding Exxon Mobil Corp or generate 5.15% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Exxon Mobil Corp  vs.  ConocoPhillips

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Exxon Mobil Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

25 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Exxon Mobil Corp are ranked lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting basic indicators, Exxon displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
ConocoPhillips 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ConocoPhillips are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile basic indicators, ConocoPhillips reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Exxon and ConocoPhillips Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Exxon and ConocoPhillips

The main advantage of trading using opposite Exxon and ConocoPhillips positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Exxon position performs unexpectedly, ConocoPhillips can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ConocoPhillips will offset losses from the drop in ConocoPhillips' long position.
The idea behind Exxon Mobil Corp and ConocoPhillips pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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