Blue Bird Corp Stock Performance
BLBD Stock | USD 36.29 2.31 6.80% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Blue Bird holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.36, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Blue Bird will likely underperform. Please check Blue Bird's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Blue Bird's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Blue Bird Corp are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather abnormal fundamental drivers, Blue Bird exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 6.55 | Five Day Return 5.06 | Year To Date Return 37.61 | Ten Year Return 279.11 | All Time Return 276.35 |
1 | Disposition of 57562 shares by Horlock Phil of Blue Bird at 33.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/15/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 3504 shares by Razvan Radulescu of Blue Bird at 12.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/22/2024 |
3 | Clough Capital Partners L P Invests 275,000 in Blue Bird Co. | 02/28/2024 |
4 | Blue Bird shares get Buy rating, 44 target from Needham | 02/29/2024 |
5 | Disposition of 3285 shares by Razvan Radulescu of Blue Bird at 30.08 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/12/2024 |
6 | Blue Bird Co. Short Interest Update - MarketBeat | 03/15/2024 |
7 | Blue Bird Co. Shares Purchased by Wellington Management Group LLP - Defense World | 03/20/2024 |
8 | Blue Bird Hits New 12-Month High at 37.28 - MarketBeat | 03/27/2024 |
9 | Acquisition by Douglas Grimm of 1954 shares of Blue Bird subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/01/2024 |
10 | Citigroup Inc. Sells 5416 Shares of Blue Bird Co. - Defense World | 04/03/2024 |
11 | In this Middle Georgia County, elections are always a toss-up | 04/19/2024 |
Begin Period Cash Flow | 10.5 M |
Blue |
Blue Bird Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,788 in Blue Bird Corp on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 841.00 from holding Blue Bird Corp or generate 30.16% return on investment over 90 days. Blue Bird Corp is currently generating 0.4634% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.761% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Blue, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
Risk |
Blue Bird Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Blue Bird's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Blue Bird Corp, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Blue Bird's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.1678
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Estimated Market Risk
2.76 actual daily | 24 76% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
0.46 actual daily | 9 91% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
0.17 actual daily | 13 87% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Blue Bird is performing at about 13% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Blue Bird by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Blue Bird Fundamentals Growth
Blue Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Blue Bird, and Blue Bird fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Blue Stock performance.
Return On Equity | 1.85 | ||||
Return On Asset | 0.16 | ||||
Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
Operating Margin | 0.12 % | ||||
Current Valuation | 1.15 B | ||||
Shares Outstanding | 32.2 M | ||||
Price To Earning | 27.57 X | ||||
Price To Book | 15.38 X | ||||
Price To Sales | 0.95 X | ||||
Revenue | 1.13 B | ||||
Gross Profit | 36.55 M | ||||
EBITDA | 60.33 M | ||||
Net Income | 23.81 M | ||||
Cash And Equivalents | 26.51 M | ||||
Cash Per Share | 0.83 X | ||||
Total Debt | 131.91 M | ||||
Debt To Equity | 9.94 % | ||||
Current Ratio | 1.42 X | ||||
Book Value Per Share | 2.35 X | ||||
Cash Flow From Operations | 119.93 M | ||||
Earnings Per Share | 1.90 X | ||||
Market Capitalization | 1.09 B | ||||
Total Asset | 417.77 M | ||||
Retained Earnings | (55.7 M) | ||||
Working Capital | 6.44 M | ||||
Current Asset | 140.15 M | ||||
Current Liabilities | 130.52 M | ||||
About Blue Bird Performance
To evaluate Blue Bird Corp Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Blue Bird generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Blue Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Blue Bird Corp market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Blue's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Days Of Inventory On Hand | 44.71 | 31.45 | |
Return On Tangible Assets | (11.08) | (10.53) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (155.24) | (147.48) | |
Return On Assets | (11.08) | (10.53) | |
Return On Equity | (154.28) | (146.57) |
Things to note about Blue Bird Corp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Bird for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Bird Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from ajc.com: In this Middle Georgia County, elections are always a toss-up |
- Analyzing Blue Bird's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Blue Bird's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Blue Bird's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Blue Bird's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Blue Bird's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Blue Bird's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Blue Bird's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Bird Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. Note that the Blue Bird Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blue Bird's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for Blue Stock analysis
When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blue Bird's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.351 | Earnings Share 1.9 | Revenue Per Share 37.832 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.348 | Return On Assets 0.1571 |
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.