Invesco Small Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VSRAX Fund  USD 21.46  0.18  0.83%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0315, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco Small Cap are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Invesco Small may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
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Invesco Small Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,978  in Invesco Small Cap on January 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  168.00  from holding Invesco Small Cap or generate 8.49% return on investment over 90 days. Invesco Small Cap is currently producing 0.1346% returns and takes up 1.0158% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Invesco, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Small is expected to generate 1.63 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Invesco Small Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
21.46
Please note that Invesco Small's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Invesco Small Cap retains a regular Real Value of $23.22 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $21.46. We determine the value of Invesco Small Cap from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Our valuation method for Invesco Small Cap is useful when determining the fair value of the Invesco mutual fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Invesco Small. Since Invesco Small is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Invesco Mutual Fund. However, Invesco Small's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  21.46 Real  23.22 Hype  21.46 Naive  20.91
The real value of Invesco Mutual Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Invesco Small Cap Mutual Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Invesco Small's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Invesco Small's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Invesco Small's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
23.22
Real Value
24.24
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Invesco Small Cap helps investors to forecast how Invesco mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Invesco Small more accurately as focusing exclusively on Invesco Small's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2422.1223.01
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4421.4622.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.9020.9121.93
Details

Invesco Small Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Small's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Invesco Small Cap, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Invesco Small's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1325

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.02
  actual daily
9
91% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.13
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.13
  actual daily
10
90% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Invesco Small is performing at about 10% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Invesco Small by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Invesco Small Fundamentals Growth

Invesco Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Invesco Small, and Invesco Small fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Invesco Mutual Fund performance.

About Invesco Small Performance

To evaluate Invesco Small Cap Mutual Fund as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Invesco Small generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Invesco Mutual Fund's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Invesco Small Cap market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Invesco's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of small capitalization companies, and in derivatives and other instruments that have economic characteristics similar to such securities. Invesco Small is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Invesco Small Cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Small Cap generated five year return of -3.0%
This fund keeps 97.11% of its net assets in stocks
Evaluating Invesco Small's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Invesco Small's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Invesco Small's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Invesco Small's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Invesco Small's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Invesco Small's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Invesco Small's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Invesco Small's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Invesco Small's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Invesco Small's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Invesco Small's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Invesco Small Cap. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the Invesco Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Invesco Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.