Abcam Stock Future Price Prediction

ABCM
 Stock
  

USD 15.61  0.08  0.51%   

Abcam Plc ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Abcam Plc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Abcam Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Abcam Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Abcam Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Abcam Plc ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Abcam Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Abcam Plc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Abcam stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Abcam Plc over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Wall Street Target Price
1.7 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.23
Using Abcam Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abcam Plc ADR from the perspective of Abcam Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Abcam Plc Profit Margin is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Profit Margin is estimated at 0.0129. Return on Sales is expected to hike to 0.005542 this year, although the value of Debt to Equity Ratio will most likely fall to 0.55.

Abcam Plc ADR Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Abcam Plc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Abcam. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Abcam can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Abcam Plc ADR. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Abcam Plc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Abcam Plc.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Abcam Plc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Abcam Plc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Abcam because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Abcam Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 15.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abcam Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Abcam Plc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.0519.6221.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.5615.8518.14
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.0022.6725.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2715.2416.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Abcam Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Abcam Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Abcam Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Abcam Plc ADR.

Abcam Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Abcam Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abcam Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Abcam Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Abcam Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Abcam Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abcam Plc's historical news coverage. Abcam Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.32 and 17.90, respectively. We have considered Abcam Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 15.61
15.61
After-hype Price
17.90
Upside
Abcam Plc is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abcam Plc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Abcam Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Abcam Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abcam Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abcam Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.20  2.29  0.00   0.14  0 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.6115.610.00 
0.00  

Abcam Plc Hype Timeline

Abcam Plc ADR is presently traded for 15.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.14. Abcam forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.2%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Abcam Plc is about 328.71%. The volatility of related hype on Abcam Plc is about 328.71% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 15.75. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 160.93. Abcam Plc ADR last dividend was issued on the 19th of March 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in 5 to 10 days.
Please continue to Abcam Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Abcam Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Abcam Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abcam Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Abcam Plc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abcam Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GEGeneral Electric 0.01 8 per month 1.99  0.0349  3.33 (3.32)  8.85 
MCDMcDonalds Corp 0.24 9 per month 1.09  0.0265  2.22 (1.55)  4.73 
KOCoca-Cola 1.14 4 per month 1.66 (0.0472)  1.87 (1.96)  8.84 
HDHome Depot 3.85 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.29 (2.48)  7.12 
VZVerizon Communications(0.64) 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.79 (2.43)  10.04 
CVXChevron Corp 2.02 9 per month 2.34 (0.0222)  3.06 (4.35)  11.62 
TATT Inc(0.69) 8 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.69 (1.63)  7.50 
CSCOCisco Systems 0.54 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.73 (1.76)  17.00 
AAAlcoa Corp(0.20) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0262)  5.50 (5.50)  17.64 

Abcam Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Abcam price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abcam using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abcam charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Abcam Plc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Abcam Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Abcam Plc ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abcam Plc based on analysis of Abcam Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Abcam Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Abcam Plc's related companies.
 2010 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share2.232.93.333.24
Asset Turnover0.420.350.320.33

Story Coverage note for Abcam Plc

The number of cover stories for Abcam Plc depends on current market conditions and Abcam Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abcam Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abcam Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Abcam Plc Short Properties

Abcam Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abcam Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abcam Plc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abcam Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abcam Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.38%
Float Shares195.42M
Shares Short Prior Month748.67k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day198.42k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month164.35k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please continue to Abcam Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Abcam Plc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Abcam Plc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Abcam Stock analysis

When running Abcam Plc ADR price analysis, check to measure Abcam Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abcam Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Abcam Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abcam Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abcam Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abcam Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Abcam Plc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abcam Plc. If investors know Abcam will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Abcam Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Market Capitalization
3.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.23
Return On Assets
0.0326
Return On Equity
0.0069
The market value of Abcam Plc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Abcam that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Abcam Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Abcam Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Abcam Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Abcam Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Abcam Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Abcam Plc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abcam Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.