Ati Physical Therapy Stock Price Prediction
| ATIP Stock | USD 4.06 0.01 0.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
22
Oversold | Overbought |
ATI Physical Therapy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ATI Physical shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ATI Physical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ATI Physical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ATI Physical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ATI Physical Therapy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ATI Physical's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.895 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (3.74) | EPS Estimate Current Year (14.69) | EPS Estimate Next Year (12.09) | Wall Street Target Price 7 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ATI Physical based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The ATI stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ATI Physical over a specific investment horizon. Using ATI Physical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ATI Physical Therapy from the perspective of ATI Physical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ATI Physical. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ATI Physical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ATI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ATI Physical after-hype prediction price | USD 4.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ATI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ATI Physical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ATI Physical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ATI Physical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ATI Physical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ATI Physical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ATI Physical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ATI Physical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ATI Physical's historical news coverage. ATI Physical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.25 and 8.01, respectively. We have considered ATI Physical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ATI Physical is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ATI Physical Therapy is based on 3 months time horizon.
ATI Physical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ATI Physical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ATI Physical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ATI Physical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 3.40 | 0.57 | 0.06 | 7 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.06 | 4.63 | 14.04 |
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ATI Physical Hype Timeline
ATI Physical Therapy is presently traded for 4.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. ATI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.63 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 14.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.69%. The volatility of related hype on ATI Physical is about 3699.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.00. The company currently holds 750.18 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.89, which is about average as compared to similar companies. ATI Physical Therapy has a current ratio of 1.42, which is within standard range for the sector. Debt can assist ATI Physical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ATI Physical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ATI Physical Therapy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ATI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ATI Physical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out ATI Physical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ATI Physical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ATI Physical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ATI Physical's future price movements. Getting to know how ATI Physical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ATI Physical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
ATI Physical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ATI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ATI using various technical indicators. When you analyze ATI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ATI Physical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ATI Physical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ATI Physical Therapy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ATI Physical based on analysis of ATI Physical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ATI Physical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ATI Physical's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.32 | 2.06 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0363 | 0.0345 |
Story Coverage note for ATI Physical
The number of cover stories for ATI Physical depends on current market conditions and ATI Physical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ATI Physical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ATI Physical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ATI Physical Short Properties
ATI Physical's future price predictability will typically decrease when ATI Physical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ATI Physical Therapy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ATI Physical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATI Physical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.8 M |
Check out ATI Physical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for ATI Stock analysis
When running ATI Physical's price analysis, check to measure ATI Physical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ATI Physical is operating at the current time. Most of ATI Physical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ATI Physical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ATI Physical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ATI Physical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ATI Physical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ATI Physical. If investors know ATI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ATI Physical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.895 | Earnings Share (31.93) | Revenue Per Share 166.408 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.135 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of ATI Physical Therapy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ATI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ATI Physical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ATI Physical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ATI Physical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ATI Physical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ATI Physical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ATI Physical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ATI Physical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.