Azek Company Stock Price Prediction

AZEK Stock  USD 45.64  0.56  1.21%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Azek's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Azek, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Azek Company stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Azek shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Azek's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Azek and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Azek's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Azek Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Azek's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.285
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.27
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.17
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.34
Wall Street Target Price
52.35
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Azek based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Azek stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Azek over a specific investment horizon. Using Azek hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Azek Company from the perspective of Azek response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Azek using Azek's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Azek using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Azek's stock price.

Azek Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Azek's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Azek. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Azek stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Azek may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Azek and may potentially protect profits, hedge Azek with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
36.0669
Short Percent
0.0301
Short Ratio
3.28
Shares Short Prior Month
4.4 M
50 Day MA
47.4662

Azek Company Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Azek's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Azek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Azek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Azek Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Azek's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Azek.

Azek Implied Volatility

    
  92.9  
Azek's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Azek Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Azek's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Azek stock will not fluctuate a lot when Azek's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Azek. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Azek to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Azek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Azek after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 45.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Azek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Azek's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.0852.7355.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.0343.4045.77
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.5136.8240.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.380.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Azek. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Azek's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Azek's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Azek Company.

Azek After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Azek at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Azek or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Azek, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Azek Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Azek's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Azek's historical news coverage. Azek's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.27 and 48.01, respectively. We have considered Azek's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
45.64
45.64
After-hype Price
48.01
Upside
Azek is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Azek Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Azek Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Azek is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Azek backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Azek, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
2.37
  0.03 
  0.05 
12 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.64
45.64
0.00 
2,962  
Notes

Azek Hype Timeline

Azek Company is presently traded for 45.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Azek is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Azek is about 1692.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.69. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Azek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Azek Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Azek's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Azek's future price movements. Getting to know how Azek's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Azek may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LIILennox International 0.00 0 per month 1.80  0.01  2.44 (3.01) 6.83 
FBINFortune Brands Innovations 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.08 (3.27) 8.11 
TTTrane Technologies plc 0.00 0 per month 0.63  0.15  2.10 (1.28) 9.21 
JCIJohnson Controls International 0.00 0 per month 1.08  0.16  2.07 (1.72) 5.98 
MASMasco 0.00 0 per month 1.26  0.04  2.56 (2.24) 7.66 
NXQuanex Building Products 0.90 8 per month 1.79  0.08  2.79 (2.93) 8.55 
JELDJeld Wen Holding 0.42 10 per month 2.61 (0.02) 3.87 (3.95) 10.95 
AZEKAzek Company 0.08 12 per month 1.19  0.12  2.69 (2.18) 18.29 
CARRCarrier GlobalCorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.42 (3.28) 6.45 
AAONAAON Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.80  0.14  3.89 (3.08) 8.79 

Azek Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Azek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Azek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Azek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Azek Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Azek stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Azek Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Azek based on analysis of Azek hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Azek's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Azek's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0033490.0030140.003164
Price To Sales Ratio3.263.754.43

Story Coverage note for Azek

The number of cover stories for Azek depends on current market conditions and Azek's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Azek is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Azek's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Azek Short Properties

Azek's future price predictability will typically decrease when Azek's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Azek Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Azek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Azek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments278.3 M
When determining whether Azek Company is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Azek Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Azek Company Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Azek Company Stock:
Check out Azek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Azek Company information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Azek's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

Complementary Tools for Azek Stock analysis

When running Azek's price analysis, check to measure Azek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Azek is operating at the current time. Most of Azek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Azek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Azek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Azek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Azek's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Azek. If investors know Azek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Azek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.285
Earnings Share
0.79
Revenue Per Share
9.342
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.112
Return On Assets
0.0465
The market value of Azek Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Azek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Azek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Azek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Azek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Azek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Azek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Azek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Azek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.