Bankfinancial Stock Price Prediction

BFIN Stock  USD 10.27  0.03  0.29%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of BankFinancial's share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BankFinancial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
BankFinancial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of BankFinancial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of BankFinancial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BankFinancial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BankFinancial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BankFinancial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BankFinancial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.76
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.85
Wall Street Target Price
11.5
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of BankFinancial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The BankFinancial stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BankFinancial over a specific investment horizon. Using BankFinancial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BankFinancial from the perspective of BankFinancial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BankFinancial using BankFinancial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BankFinancial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BankFinancial's stock price.

BankFinancial Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
BankFinancial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BankFinancial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BankFinancial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BankFinancial stock will not fluctuate a lot when BankFinancial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in BankFinancial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BankFinancial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BankFinancial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BankFinancial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out BankFinancial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in BankFinancial Stock, please use our How to Invest in BankFinancial guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BankFinancial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.8210.1911.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.8110.1811.55
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1310.0311.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.150.160.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BankFinancial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BankFinancial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BankFinancial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BankFinancial.

BankFinancial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BankFinancial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BankFinancial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BankFinancial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BankFinancial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BankFinancial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BankFinancial's historical news coverage. BankFinancial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.93 and 11.67, respectively. We have considered BankFinancial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.27
10.30
After-hype Price
11.67
Upside
BankFinancial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BankFinancial is based on 3 months time horizon.

BankFinancial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BankFinancial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BankFinancial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BankFinancial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.35
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.27
10.30
0.00 
900.00  
Notes

BankFinancial Hype Timeline

BankFinancial is currently traded for 10.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BankFinancial is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on BankFinancial is about 11045.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.27. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BankFinancial last dividend was issued on the 8th of February 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out BankFinancial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in BankFinancial Stock, please use our How to Invest in BankFinancial guide.

BankFinancial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BankFinancial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BankFinancial's future price movements. Getting to know how BankFinancial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BankFinancial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MBINMerchants Bancorp 0.54 8 per month 2.00 (0.04) 4.04 (3.79) 12.36 
MBWMMercantile Bank 0.13 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.16 (3.10) 12.23 
MCBSMetroCity Bankshares 0.39 7 per month 2.43 (0.04) 3.87 (4.01) 9.79 
MCBCMacatawa Bank(0.57)6 per month 0.00 (0.20) 2.95 (2.71) 8.03 
AXAxos Financial(0.33)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.65 (2.68) 6.99 
BYByline Bancorp(0.05)9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.50 (2.22) 6.36 
RF-PCRegions Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.55  0.04  1.97 (0.91) 4.31 
RF-PERegions Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.95  0.04  1.85 (1.74) 4.69 
RF-PBRegions Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.29  0.02  1.19 (0.84) 2.72 

BankFinancial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BankFinancial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BankFinancial using various technical indicators. When you analyze BankFinancial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BankFinancial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BankFinancial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BankFinancial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BankFinancial based on analysis of BankFinancial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BankFinancial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BankFinancial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03770.0380.0390.0198
Price To Sales Ratio3.022.421.821.73

Story Coverage note for BankFinancial

The number of cover stories for BankFinancial depends on current market conditions and BankFinancial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BankFinancial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BankFinancial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BankFinancial Short Properties

BankFinancial's future price predictability will typically decrease when BankFinancial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BankFinancial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BankFinancial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BankFinancial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.8 M
When determining whether BankFinancial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BankFinancial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bankfinancial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bankfinancial Stock:
Check out BankFinancial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in BankFinancial Stock, please use our How to Invest in BankFinancial guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for BankFinancial Stock analysis

When running BankFinancial's price analysis, check to measure BankFinancial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BankFinancial is operating at the current time. Most of BankFinancial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BankFinancial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BankFinancial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BankFinancial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Is BankFinancial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BankFinancial. If investors know BankFinancial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BankFinancial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
0.74
Revenue Per Share
4.431
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of BankFinancial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BankFinancial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BankFinancial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BankFinancial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BankFinancial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BankFinancial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BankFinancial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BankFinancial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BankFinancial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.