Bar Harbor Bankshares Stock Price Prediction
| BHB Stock | USD 23.86 0.14 0.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Bar Harbor Bankshares stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bar Harbor shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bar Harbor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bar Harbor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bar Harbor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bar Harbor Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bar Harbor's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.63 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.78 | Wall Street Target Price 28.75 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bar Harbor based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bar stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bar Harbor over a specific investment horizon. Using Bar Harbor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bar Harbor Bankshares from the perspective of Bar Harbor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bar Harbor. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bar Harbor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bar Harbor after-hype prediction price | USD 23.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bar Harbor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bar Harbor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bar Harbor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bar Harbor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bar Harbor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bar Harbor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bar Harbor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bar Harbor's historical news coverage. Bar Harbor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.76 and 25.86, respectively. We have considered Bar Harbor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bar Harbor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bar Harbor Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bar Harbor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bar Harbor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bar Harbor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bar Harbor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.05 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.86 | 23.81 | 0.21 |
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Bar Harbor Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Bar Harbor Bankshares is traded for 23.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Bar is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 23.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Bar Harbor is about 1413.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.89. About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bar Harbor Bankshares last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 22nd of March 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Bar Harbor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bar Harbor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bar Harbor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bar Harbor's future price movements. Getting to know how Bar Harbor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bar Harbor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.72 | (3.33) | 11.98 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | 0.62 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.07 | (2.94) | 7.98 |
Bar Harbor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bar Harbor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bar Harbor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bar Harbor Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bar Harbor based on analysis of Bar Harbor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bar Harbor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bar Harbor's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0325 | 0.0318 | 0.0373 | 0.0261 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.14 | 3.23 | 2.12 | 2.01 |
Story Coverage note for Bar Harbor
The number of cover stories for Bar Harbor depends on current market conditions and Bar Harbor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bar Harbor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bar Harbor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bar Harbor Short Properties
Bar Harbor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bar Harbor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bar Harbor Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bar Harbor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bar Harbor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -42.2 M |
Check out Bar Harbor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bar Harbor Bankshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bar Harbor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for Bar Stock analysis
When running Bar Harbor's price analysis, check to measure Bar Harbor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bar Harbor is operating at the current time. Most of Bar Harbor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bar Harbor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bar Harbor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bar Harbor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bar Harbor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bar Harbor. If investors know Bar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bar Harbor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | Dividend Share 1.1 | Earnings Share 2.95 | Revenue Per Share 9.933 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Bar Harbor Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bar Harbor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bar Harbor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bar Harbor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bar Harbor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bar Harbor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bar Harbor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bar Harbor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.