Brown Brown Stock Price Prediction
| BRO Stock | USD 82.13 0.80 0.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Brown Brown stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Brown Brown shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Brown Brown's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Brown Brown and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Brown Brown's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brown Brown, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brown Brown's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.229 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.85 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.85 | Wall Street Target Price 89.51 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Brown Brown based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Brown stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Brown Brown over a specific investment horizon. Using Brown Brown hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brown Brown from the perspective of Brown Brown response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brown Brown using Brown Brown's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brown using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brown Brown's stock price.
Brown Brown Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Brown Brown's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Brown. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Brown Brown stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Brown Brown may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brown Brown and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brown Brown with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 75.2289 | Short Percent 0.0108 | Short Ratio 2.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 84.14 |
Brown Brown Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Brown Brown's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brown. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brown can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brown Brown. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brown Brown's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brown Brown.
Brown Brown Implied Volatility | 19.23 |
Brown Brown's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brown Brown stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brown Brown's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brown Brown stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brown Brown's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Brown Brown. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brown Brown to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brown because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Brown Brown after-hype prediction price | USD 82.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brown contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brown Brown will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.2% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Brown Brown trading at USD 82.13, that is roughly USD 0.99 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brown Brown's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brown Brown options at the current volatility level of 19.23%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Brown |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brown Brown's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brown Brown After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brown Brown at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brown Brown or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brown Brown, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brown Brown Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brown Brown's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brown Brown's historical news coverage. Brown Brown's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.26 and 82.92, respectively. We have considered Brown Brown's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brown Brown is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brown Brown is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brown Brown Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brown Brown is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brown Brown backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brown Brown, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
82.13 | 82.09 | 0.05 |
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Brown Brown Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Brown Brown is traded for 82.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Brown is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 82.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Brown Brown is about 64.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.99. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Brown Brown was currently reported as 20.27. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of May 2024. Brown Brown had 2:1 split on the 29th of March 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Brown Brown Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Brown Brown Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brown Brown's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brown Brown's future price movements. Getting to know how Brown Brown's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brown Brown may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMC | Marsh McLennan Companies | (2.86) | 9 per month | 0.92 | (0.06) | 1.65 | (1.35) | 4.17 | |
| AON | Aon PLC | (4.73) | 12 per month | 1.15 | (0.08) | 1.44 | (1.58) | 4.90 | |
| WTW | Willis Towers Watson | (1.62) | 10 per month | 0.61 | (0.01) | 1.43 | (1.22) | 9.24 | |
| ERIE | Erie Indemnity | (8.94) | 5 per month | 0.99 | 0.07 | 1.98 | (1.62) | 13.03 | |
| AJG | Arthur J Gallagher | (2.73) | 11 per month | 1.02 | (0.09) | 1.51 | (1.82) | 4.08 | |
| BRP | Brp Group | 0.07 | 10 per month | 2.15 | 0.03 | 4.08 | (3.75) | 10.47 | |
| FANH | Fanhua Inc | 0.06 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.85 | (8.64) | 27.31 | |
| CRVL | CorVel Corp | 10.48 | 8 per month | 1.72 | (0.02) | 3.51 | (2.76) | 8.09 |
Brown Brown Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Brown Brown Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Brown Brown stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brown Brown, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brown Brown based on analysis of Brown Brown hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brown Brown's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brown Brown's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005526 | 0.007559 | 0.006785 | 0.006446 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.37 | 4.42 | 4.67 | 3.48 |
Story Coverage note for Brown Brown
The number of cover stories for Brown Brown depends on current market conditions and Brown Brown's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brown Brown is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brown Brown's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brown Brown Short Properties
Brown Brown's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brown Brown's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brown Brown often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brown Brown's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brown Brown's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 280.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Check out Brown Brown Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Brown Stock, please use our How to Invest in Brown Brown guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for Brown Stock analysis
When running Brown Brown's price analysis, check to measure Brown Brown's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brown Brown is operating at the current time. Most of Brown Brown's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brown Brown's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brown Brown's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brown Brown to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brown Brown's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brown Brown. If investors know Brown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brown Brown listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.229 | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 3.24 | Revenue Per Share 15.505 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.134 |
The market value of Brown Brown is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brown Brown's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brown Brown's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brown Brown's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brown Brown's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brown Brown's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brown Brown is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brown Brown's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.