British Stock Future Price Prediction

BTI
 Stock
  

USD 40.77  0.35  0.87%   

British American Tobacco stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of British Amer shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of British Amer's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of British Amer and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from British Amer's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with British American Tobacco, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to British Amer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of British Amer based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The British stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on British Amer over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.43
Wall Street Target Price
53.3
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.057
Using British Amer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of British American Tobacco from the perspective of British Amer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
British Amer Inventory Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Inventory Turnover was reported at 0.78. The current Return on Investment is estimated to increase to 9.84, while Calculated Tax Rate is projected to decrease to 22.11.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in British Amer. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in British Amer to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying British because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

British Amer after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 40.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of British Amer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of British Amer in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
36.6945.9047.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
39.4341.1142.79
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
50.0050.5651.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.6240.5542.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as British Amer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against British Amer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, British Amer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in British American Tobacco.

British Amer After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of British Amer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in British Amer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of British Amer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

British Amer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting British Amer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on British Amer's historical news coverage. British Amer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.03 and 42.39, respectively. We have considered British Amer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 40.77
40.71
After-hype Price
42.39
Upside
British Amer is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of British American Tobacco is based on 3 months time horizon.

British Amer Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as British Amer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading British Amer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with British Amer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07  1.68   0.06    0.01  4 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.7740.710.15 
212.66  

British Amer Hype Timeline

On the 15th of August 2022 British American Tobacco is traded for 40.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. British is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 40.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.15% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on British Amer is about 1050.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 40.76. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. British American Tobacco last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 14th of February 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Continue to British Amer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

British Amer Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to British Amer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict British Amer's future price movements. Getting to know how British Amer rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how British Amer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BTIBritish American Tobacco(0.79) 4 per month 1.91 (0.0428)  3.26 (2.75)  8.11 
AAPLApple Inc(3.87) 9 per month 2.07  0.08  3.42 (3.85)  8.84 
TATT Inc 0.20 10 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.00 (2.45)  10.60 
CATCaterpillar(2.36) 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.82 (4.35)  11.37 
KOCoca-Cola 1.14 4 per month 1.66 (0.05)  1.87 (1.96)  8.84 
CVXChevron Corp 2.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.05)  3.06 (4.35)  11.62 
VZVerizon Communications(0.55) 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.79 (2.43)  10.04 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp(0.02) 9 per month 2.62  0.0203  3.33 (3.96)  10.43 
AXPAmerican Express 2.06 7 per month 2.22 (0.0074)  3.79 (3.84)  9.74 
CSCOCisco Systems 0.57 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.73 (1.61)  17.00 

British Amer Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine British price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for British using various technical indicators. When you analyze British charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About British Amer Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of British Amer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as British American Tobacco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of British Amer based on analysis of British Amer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to British Amer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to British Amer's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.590.640.530.54
Interest Coverage5.555.787.188.31

Story Coverage note for British Amer

The number of cover stories for British Amer depends on current market conditions and British Amer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that British Amer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about British Amer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

British Amer Short Properties

British Amer's future price predictability will typically decrease when British Amer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of British American Tobacco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential British Amer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. British Amer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.13%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.12
Float Shares2.06B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.23M
Shares Short Prior Month3.06M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.89M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.35%
Continue to British Amer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the British American Tobacco information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other British Amer's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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When running British American Tobacco price analysis, check to measure British Amer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy British Amer is operating at the current time. Most of British Amer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of British Amer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move British Amer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of British Amer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is British Amer's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of British Amer. If investors know British will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about British Amer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.43
Market Capitalization
91.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.057
Return On Assets
0.0472
Return On Equity
0.0814
The market value of British American Tobacco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of British that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of British Amer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is British Amer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because British Amer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect British Amer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between British Amer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine British Amer value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, British Amer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.