ConAgra Stock Price Prediction

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CAG -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: 31st of August 2020  

ConAgra Brands stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ConAgra Brands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ConAgra Brands stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ConAgra Brands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Continue to ConAgra Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ConAgra Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The ConAgra stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ConAgra Brands over a specific investment horizon. Using ConAgra Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ConAgra Brands from the perspective of ConAgra Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. ConAgra Brands PPandE Turnover is expected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's PPandE Turnover was at 4.20. The current year Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 14.82, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to decline to 1.27.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ConAgra Brands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ConAgra Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ConAgra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ConAgra Brands after-hype prediction price

There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
12 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh

ConAgra Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ConAgra Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ConAgra Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of ConAgra Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

ConAgra Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
5th of July 2020
After-hype Price
ConAgra Brands is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ConAgra Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.

ConAgra Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.21  1.79  0.01   0.02  11 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

ConAgra Brands Hype Timeline

On the 5th of July ConAgra Brands is traded for 35.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. ConAgra is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 35.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on ConAgra Brands is about 1945.65% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 35.39. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of ConAgra Brands was currently reported as 16.31. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. ConAgra Brands last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2020. The entity had 2:1 split on 10th of November 2016. Considering the 30-days investment horizon, the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Continue to ConAgra Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ConAgra Brands Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Farmmi Inc Ordinary(0.12) 1 per month 4.89  0.0479  9.38 (8.46)  68.92 
Freshpet(1.09) 9 per month 3.36  0.09  7.37 (4.88)  20.40 
Campbell Soup(0.50) 7 per month 2.08 (0.0494)  3.24 (2.92)  10.52 
DAVIDsTEA 0.12 3 per month 4.63  0.11  15.22 (8.54)  78.49 
Darling Ingredients 0.33 8 per month 3.83  0.0476  6.44 (6.60)  16.46 
Kellogg Company 0.11 8 per month 1.38 (0.0357)  2.36 (2.17)  8.14 
Farmer Brothers(0.33) 3 per month 6.47  0.0057  12.35 (11.38)  31.71 
Lamb Weston Holdings 0.61 5 per month 4.23  0.006  7.86 (6.07)  21.34 
BG Foods BG 0.02 9 per month 3.16  0.08  7.53 (4.59)  22.69 
ConAgra Brands(0.07) 11 per month 1.35  0.0446  3.67 (2.72)  8.47 

ConAgra Brands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ConAgra stock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ConAgra using various technical indicators. When you analyze ConAgra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators
Math Operators
Math Transform
Momentum Indicators
Overlap Studies
Pattern Recognition
Price Transform
Statistic Functions
Volatility Indicators
Volume Indicators
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
Directional Movement Index
Moving Average Convergence Divergence Fix
Balance Of Power
Minus Directional Indicator
1 day Rate Of Change of a Triple Smooth EMA
Average Directional Movement Index Rating
Williams R percentage

About ConAgra Brands Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ConAgra Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ConAgra Brands, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of ConAgra Brands hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to ConAgra Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ConAgra Brands's related companies.
 2010 2014 2019 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.671.441.521.27
Interest Coverage2.523.17.766.96

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Latest Perspective on ConAgra Brands

Continue to ConAgra Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all macroaxis ideas. macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
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