Concord Medical Services Stock Price Prediction

CCM Stock  USD 0.58  0.05  7.94%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Concord Medical's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Concord Medical, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Concord Medical Services stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Concord Medical shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Concord Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Concord Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Concord Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Concord Medical Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Concord Medical's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
1.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.972
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Concord Medical based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Concord stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Concord Medical over a specific investment horizon. Using Concord Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Concord Medical Services from the perspective of Concord Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Concord Medical. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Concord Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Concord because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Concord Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Concord Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Concord Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.529.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.459.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Concord Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Concord Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Concord Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Concord Medical Services.

Concord Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Concord Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Concord Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Concord Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Concord Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Concord Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Concord Medical's historical news coverage. Concord Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 9.91, respectively. We have considered Concord Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.58
0.59
After-hype Price
9.91
Upside
Concord Medical is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Concord Medical Services is based on 3 months time horizon.

Concord Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Concord Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Concord Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Concord Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
9.32
  0.01 
  0.13 
10 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.58
0.59
1.72 
46,600  
Notes

Concord Medical Hype Timeline

On the 19th of April Concord Medical Services is traded for 0.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Concord is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.59 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.72%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Concord Medical is about 3644.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.45. The company reported the last year's revenue of 472.08 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (768.99 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (152.41 M). Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Concord Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Concord Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Concord Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Concord Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Concord Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Concord Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Concord Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Concord price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Concord using various technical indicators. When you analyze Concord charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Concord Medical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Concord Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Concord Medical Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Concord Medical based on analysis of Concord Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Concord Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Concord Medical's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.190.14
Price To Sales Ratio1.21.14

Story Coverage note for Concord Medical

The number of cover stories for Concord Medical depends on current market conditions and Concord Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Concord Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Concord Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Concord Medical Short Properties

Concord Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Concord Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Concord Medical Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Concord Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Concord Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments158.3 M
When determining whether Concord Medical Services is a strong investment it is important to analyze Concord Medical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Concord Medical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Concord Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Concord Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Concord Medical Services information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Concord Medical's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running Concord Medical's price analysis, check to measure Concord Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Concord Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Concord Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Concord Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Concord Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Concord Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Concord Medical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Concord Medical. If investors know Concord will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Concord Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.48)
Revenue Per Share
14.017
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.972
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of Concord Medical Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Concord that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Concord Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Concord Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Concord Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Concord Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Concord Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Concord Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Concord Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.