The Chefs Warehouse Stock Price Prediction
| CHEF Stock | USD 33.03 0.61 1.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Chefs Warehouse stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Chefs Warehouse shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Chefs Warehouse's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chefs Warehouse and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chefs Warehouse's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Chefs Warehouse, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chefs Warehouse's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.64 | Wall Street Target Price 45.88 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Chefs Warehouse based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Chefs stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chefs Warehouse over a specific investment horizon. Using Chefs Warehouse hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Chefs Warehouse from the perspective of Chefs Warehouse response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chefs Warehouse using Chefs Warehouse's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chefs using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chefs Warehouse's stock price.
Chefs Warehouse Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Chefs Warehouse's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Chefs Warehouse stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chefs Warehouse's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chefs Warehouse stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chefs Warehouse's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Chefs Warehouse. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chefs Warehouse to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chefs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chefs Warehouse after-hype prediction price | USD 32.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chefs |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chefs Warehouse's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chefs Warehouse After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chefs Warehouse at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chefs Warehouse or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chefs Warehouse, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chefs Warehouse Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chefs Warehouse's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chefs Warehouse's historical news coverage. Chefs Warehouse's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.28 and 34.68, respectively. We have considered Chefs Warehouse's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chefs Warehouse is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chefs Warehouse is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chefs Warehouse Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chefs Warehouse is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chefs Warehouse backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chefs Warehouse, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.22 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.03 | 32.48 | 0.19 |
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Chefs Warehouse Hype Timeline
Chefs Warehouse is currently traded for 33.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Chefs is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 200.0%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Chefs Warehouse is about 1973.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.02. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.43 B. Net Income was 34.59 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 618.64 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Chefs Warehouse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chefs Warehouse Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chefs Warehouse's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chefs Warehouse's future price movements. Getting to know how Chefs Warehouse's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chefs Warehouse may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BIG | Big Lots | (0.24) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 11.75 | (7.14) | 34.94 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 0.48 | (0.48) | 1.21 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (0.26) | 3 per month | 0.61 | (0.05) | 0.98 | (1.06) | 3.20 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.29 | 0.01 | 3.60 | (3.74) | 13.41 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.17) | 0.51 | (0.51) | 1.46 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.52 | (1.89) | 17.58 |
Chefs Warehouse Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chefs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chefs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chefs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chefs Warehouse Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chefs Warehouse stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Chefs Warehouse, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chefs Warehouse based on analysis of Chefs Warehouse hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chefs Warehouse's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chefs Warehouse's related companies. | 2010 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.12 | 0.004278 | 0.004064 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.69 | 1.13 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Chefs Warehouse
The number of cover stories for Chefs Warehouse depends on current market conditions and Chefs Warehouse's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chefs Warehouse is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chefs Warehouse's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chefs Warehouse Short Properties
Chefs Warehouse's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chefs Warehouse's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Chefs Warehouse often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chefs Warehouse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chefs Warehouse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.9 M |
Check out Chefs Warehouse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Chefs Warehouse information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Chefs Warehouse's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for Chefs Stock analysis
When running Chefs Warehouse's price analysis, check to measure Chefs Warehouse's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chefs Warehouse is operating at the current time. Most of Chefs Warehouse's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chefs Warehouse's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chefs Warehouse's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chefs Warehouse to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Chefs Warehouse's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chefs Warehouse. If investors know Chefs will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chefs Warehouse listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Earnings Share 0.88 | Revenue Per Share 91.242 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.201 | Return On Assets 0.0434 |
The market value of Chefs Warehouse is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chefs that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chefs Warehouse's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chefs Warehouse's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chefs Warehouse's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chefs Warehouse's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chefs Warehouse's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chefs Warehouse is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chefs Warehouse's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.