Central Pacific Financial Stock Price Prediction

CPF Stock  USD 19.78  0.58  3.02%   
As of 28th of March 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Central Pacific's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Central Pacific, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Central Pacific Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Central Pacific shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Central Pacific's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Central Pacific and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Central Pacific's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Central Pacific Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Central Pacific's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.43
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.97
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.22
Wall Street Target Price
24
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Central Pacific based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Central stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Central Pacific over a specific investment horizon. Using Central Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Pacific Financial from the perspective of Central Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Central Pacific using Central Pacific's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Central using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Central Pacific's stock price.

Central Pacific Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Central Pacific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Central Pacific Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Central Pacific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Central Pacific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Central Pacific's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Central Pacific. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Central Pacific to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Central because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Central Pacific after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Central Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Central Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5220.1821.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.8219.4821.14
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.1121.0023.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.430.450.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Central Pacific. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Central Pacific's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Central Pacific's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Central Pacific Financial.

Central Pacific After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Central Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Central Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Central Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Pacific's historical news coverage. Central Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.10 and 21.42, respectively. We have considered Central Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.78
19.76
After-hype Price
21.42
Upside
Central Pacific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Pacific Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Central Pacific Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.66
  0.02 
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.78
19.76
0.10 
425.64  
Notes

Central Pacific Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Central Pacific Financial is traded for 19.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Central is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Central Pacific is about 2766.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.78. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Central Pacific Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2024. The firm had 1:20 split on the 3rd of February 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Central Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Central Pacific Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Central Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Central Pacific rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Central Pacific Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Central Pacific Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Central Pacific stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Central Pacific Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Central Pacific based on analysis of Central Pacific hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Central Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Central Pacific's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio9.877.529.078.61
Short Term Coverage Ratios24.9522.8233.4822.78

Story Coverage note for Central Pacific

The number of cover stories for Central Pacific depends on current market conditions and Central Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Central Pacific Short Properties

Central Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Central Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Central Pacific Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Central Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments763.4 M
When determining whether Central Pacific Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Central Pacific's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Central Pacific's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Central Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Central Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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When running Central Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Central Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Central Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Central Pacific's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Central Pacific. If investors know Central will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Central Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
1.04
Earnings Share
2.17
Revenue Per Share
8.915
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of Central Pacific Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Central that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Central Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Central Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Central Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Central Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Central Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Central Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Central Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.