Consolidated Water Co Stock Price Prediction

CWCO Stock  USD 30.15  0.36  1.21%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Consolidated Water's share price is approaching 31 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Consolidated Water, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

31

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Consolidated Water stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Consolidated Water shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Consolidated Water's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Consolidated Water and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Consolidated Water's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Consolidated Water Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Consolidated Water's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
30.027
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.36
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.76
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.24
Wall Street Target Price
25
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Consolidated Water based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Consolidated stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Consolidated Water over a specific investment horizon. Using Consolidated Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Consolidated Water Co from the perspective of Consolidated Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Consolidated Water using Consolidated Water's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Consolidated using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Consolidated Water's stock price.

Consolidated Water Implied Volatility

    
  61.27  
Consolidated Water's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Consolidated Water Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Consolidated Water's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Consolidated Water stock will not fluctuate a lot when Consolidated Water's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Consolidated Water. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Consolidated Water to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Consolidated because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Consolidated Water after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 29.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Consolidated contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Consolidated Water Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.83% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Consolidated Water trading at USD 30.15, that is roughly USD 1.15 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Consolidated Water's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Consolidated Water Co options at the current volatility level of 61.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Consolidated Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Consolidated Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5729.6331.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.5230.5832.63
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.9428.5031.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.440.440.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Consolidated Water. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Consolidated Water's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Consolidated Water's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Consolidated Water.

Consolidated Water After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Consolidated Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Consolidated Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Consolidated Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Consolidated Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Consolidated Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Consolidated Water's historical news coverage. Consolidated Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.92 and 32.04, respectively. We have considered Consolidated Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
30.15
29.98
After-hype Price
32.04
Upside
Consolidated Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Consolidated Water is based on 3 months time horizon.

Consolidated Water Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Consolidated Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Consolidated Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Consolidated Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
2.06
  0.17 
  0.04 
12 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.15
29.98
0.56 
302.94  
Notes

Consolidated Water Hype Timeline

Consolidated Water is currently traded for 30.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Consolidated is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Consolidated Water is about 1194.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.11. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Consolidated Water was currently reported as 11.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.03. Consolidated Water last dividend was issued on the 28th of March 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 25th of August 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Consolidated Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Consolidated Water Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Consolidated Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Consolidated Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Consolidated Water rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Consolidated Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Consolidated Water Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Consolidated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Consolidated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Consolidated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Consolidated Water Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Consolidated Water stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Consolidated Water Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Consolidated Water based on analysis of Consolidated Water hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Consolidated Water's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Consolidated Water's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio39.6524.2321.8117.8
Short Term Coverage Ratios10.6432.2329.0130.46

Story Coverage note for Consolidated Water

The number of cover stories for Consolidated Water depends on current market conditions and Consolidated Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Consolidated Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Consolidated Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Consolidated Water Short Properties

Consolidated Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when Consolidated Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Consolidated Water Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Consolidated Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Consolidated Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments50.7 M
When determining whether Consolidated Water offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Consolidated Water's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Consolidated Water Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Consolidated Water Co Stock:
Check out Consolidated Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Consolidated Water information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Consolidated Water's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Consolidated Stock analysis

When running Consolidated Water's price analysis, check to measure Consolidated Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Consolidated Water is operating at the current time. Most of Consolidated Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Consolidated Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Consolidated Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Consolidated Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Consolidated Water's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Consolidated Water. If investors know Consolidated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Consolidated Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
30.027
Dividend Share
0.35
Earnings Share
1.44
Revenue Per Share
9.944
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.99
The market value of Consolidated Water is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Consolidated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Consolidated Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Consolidated Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Consolidated Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Consolidated Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Consolidated Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Consolidated Water is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Consolidated Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.