Darden Restaurants Stock Price Prediction
| DRI Stock | USD 156.49 0.59 0.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Darden Restaurants stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Darden Restaurants shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Darden Restaurants' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Darden Restaurants and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Darden Restaurants' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Darden Restaurants, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Darden Restaurants' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.11 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.85 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.62 | Wall Street Target Price 178.78 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.62 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Darden Restaurants based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Darden stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Darden Restaurants over a specific investment horizon. Using Darden Restaurants hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Darden Restaurants from the perspective of Darden Restaurants response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Darden Restaurants using Darden Restaurants' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Darden using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Darden Restaurants' stock price.
Darden Restaurants Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Darden Restaurants' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Darden. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Darden Restaurants stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Darden Restaurants may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Darden Restaurants and may potentially protect profits, hedge Darden Restaurants with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 158.294 | Short Percent 0.0761 | Short Ratio 4.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.6 M | 50 Day MA 164.8462 |
Darden Restaurants Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Darden Restaurants' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Darden. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Darden can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Darden Restaurants. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Darden Restaurants' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Darden Restaurants.
Darden Restaurants Implied Volatility | 18.58 |
Darden Restaurants' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Darden Restaurants stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Darden Restaurants' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Darden Restaurants stock will not fluctuate a lot when Darden Restaurants' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Darden Restaurants. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Darden Restaurants to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Darden because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Darden Restaurants after-hype prediction price | USD 155.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Darden contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Darden Restaurants will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.16% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Darden Restaurants trading at USD 156.49, that is roughly USD 1.82 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Darden Restaurants' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Darden Restaurants options at the current volatility level of 18.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Darden |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Darden Restaurants' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Darden Restaurants After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Darden Restaurants at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Darden Restaurants or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Darden Restaurants, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Darden Restaurants Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Darden Restaurants' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Darden Restaurants' historical news coverage. Darden Restaurants' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 154.54 and 157.26, respectively. We have considered Darden Restaurants' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Darden Restaurants is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Darden Restaurants is based on 3 months time horizon.
Darden Restaurants Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Darden Restaurants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Darden Restaurants backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Darden Restaurants, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.36 | 0.27 | 0.07 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
156.49 | 155.90 | 0.00 |
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Darden Restaurants Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April Darden Restaurants is traded for 156.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Darden is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 20.36%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Darden Restaurants is about 74.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 156.42. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.62. Darden Restaurants recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of April 2024. The firm had 10000:8939 split on the 10th of November 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Darden Restaurants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Darden Restaurants Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Darden Restaurants' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Darden Restaurants' future price movements. Getting to know how Darden Restaurants' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Darden Restaurants may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DPZ | Dominos Pizza | (3.41) | 10 per month | 1.25 | 0.07 | 2.14 | (1.96) | 10.39 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | 0.04 | 11 per month | 1.21 | (0.01) | 1.90 | (2.08) | 5.26 | |
| WING | Wingstop | (3.37) | 13 per month | 2.10 | 0.15 | 3.68 | (4.36) | 13.23 | |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings | (0.58) | 11 per month | 2.11 | 0.03 | 4.04 | (3.26) | 15.41 |
Darden Restaurants Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Darden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Darden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Darden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Darden Restaurants Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Darden Restaurants stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Darden Restaurants, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Darden Restaurants based on analysis of Darden Restaurants hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Darden Restaurants's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Darden Restaurants's related companies. | 2014 | 2019 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.025 | 0.03 | 0.0335 | 0.0352 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.74 | 1.87 | 1.23 | 0.79 |
Story Coverage note for Darden Restaurants
The number of cover stories for Darden Restaurants depends on current market conditions and Darden Restaurants' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Darden Restaurants is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Darden Restaurants' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Darden Restaurants Short Properties
Darden Restaurants' future price predictability will typically decrease when Darden Restaurants' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Darden Restaurants often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Darden Restaurants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Darden Restaurants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 122.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 367.8 M |
Check out Darden Restaurants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Darden Stock analysis
When running Darden Restaurants' price analysis, check to measure Darden Restaurants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Darden Restaurants is operating at the current time. Most of Darden Restaurants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Darden Restaurants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Darden Restaurants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Darden Restaurants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Darden Restaurants' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Darden Restaurants. If investors know Darden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Darden Restaurants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.11 | Dividend Share 5.14 | Earnings Share 8.53 | Revenue Per Share 93.095 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.068 |
The market value of Darden Restaurants is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Darden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Darden Restaurants' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Darden Restaurants' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Darden Restaurants' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Darden Restaurants' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Darden Restaurants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Darden Restaurants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Darden Restaurants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.