Ford Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 16.18  0.14  0.86%   

Ford Motor stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ford shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ford's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ford and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ford's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Ford Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ford based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ford stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Using Ford hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ford Motor from the perspective of Ford response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Ford Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 1.82. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 4.73, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 2.55.

Ford Motor Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ford's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Ford. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ford can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ford Motor. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ford's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ford.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ford. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ford to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ford because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ford after-hype prediction price

  $ 16.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ford's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ford in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
12 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ford. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ford's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ford's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ford Motor.

Ford After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ford at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ford or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ford, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ford Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ford's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ford's historical news coverage. Ford's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.18 and 19.32, respectively. We have considered Ford's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 16.18
After-hype Price
Ford is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ford Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Ford is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ford backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ford, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.46  2.99   0.09    0.21  8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Ford Hype Timeline

As of August 16, 2022 Ford Motor is listed for 16.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Ford is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 16.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.43% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Ford is about 654.74% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 15.97. About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of April 2022. The firm had 1748175:1000000 split on the 3rd of August 2000. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Please check Ford Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ford's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ford's future price movements. Getting to know how Ford rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ford may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
GMGeneral Motors 0.64 4 per month 3.40  0.0096  4.45 (5.05)  15.53 
BABoeing Company(5.59) 9 per month 2.47  0.11  6.45 (4.95)  16.31 
MRKMerck Company 0.11 11 per month 1.21 (0.0449)  2.11 (2.50)  6.96 
CSCOCisco Systems 0.57 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.73 (1.61)  17.00 
DISWalt Disney 0.53 10 per month 1.75  0.08  3.98 (3.76)  7.34 
CATCaterpillar(2.36) 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.82 (4.35)  11.37 
PFEPfizer Inc(0.52) 10 per month 1.74 (0.033)  3.00 (3.17)  7.74 
AAAlcoa Corp(0.20) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0467)  5.50 (5.50)  17.64 
MCDMcDonalds Corp 2.71 8 per month 1.04  0.0299  2.22 (1.55)  4.73 

Ford Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ford Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ford stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ford Motor, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ford based on analysis of Ford hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ford's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ford's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity3.053.61.822.79
Interest Coverage2.392.932.642.94

Story Coverage note for Ford

The number of cover stories for Ford depends on current market conditions and Ford's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ford is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ford's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ford Short Properties

Ford's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ford's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ford Motor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ford's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ford's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.85%
Short Percent Of Float3.16%
Float Shares3.94B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day76.29M
Shares Short Prior Month115.79M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month61.27M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please check Ford Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Ford Motor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ford's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for Ford Stock analysis

When running Ford Motor price analysis, check to measure Ford's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ford is operating at the current time. Most of Ford's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ford's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ford's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ford to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ford's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ford. If investors know Ford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ford listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
65 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Ford Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ford's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ford's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ford's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ford's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ford value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.