First Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| FBP Stock | USD 17.70 0.54 3.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
First Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of First Bancorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of First Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Bancorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Bancorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Bancorp's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.158 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.35 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.62 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.82 | Wall Street Target Price 19.4 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of First Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The First stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First Bancorp over a specific investment horizon. Using First Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Bancorp from the perspective of First Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Bancorp using First Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Bancorp's stock price.
First Bancorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in First Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long First Bancorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about First Bancorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge First Bancorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.2803 | Short Percent 0.0188 | Short Ratio 1.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 16.885 |
First Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to First Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Bancorp.
First Bancorp Implied Volatility | 31.53 |
First Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in First Bancorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 17.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Bancorp's historical news coverage. First Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.07 and 19.35, respectively. We have considered First Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.64 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.70 | 17.71 | 0.06 |
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First Bancorp Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April First Bancorp is traded for 17.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on First Bancorp is about 7809.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.70. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.15 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 302.86 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 890.62 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out First Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how First Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
First Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Bancorp based on analysis of First Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Bancorp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0233 | 0.0362 | 0.0343 | 0.0327 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.46 | 102.96 | 2.51 | 4.28 |
Story Coverage note for First Bancorp
The number of cover stories for First Bancorp depends on current market conditions and First Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Bancorp Short Properties
First Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 177.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -661.9 M |
Check out First Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in First Stock, please use our How to Invest in First Bancorp guide.Note that the First Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure First Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of First Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is First Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Bancorp. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.158 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 1.71 | Revenue Per Share 4.891 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of First Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.