Flex Stock Price Prediction

FLEX Stock  USD 28.61  0.02  0.07%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Flex's share price is at 52. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Flex, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

52

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Flex stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Flex shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Flex's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Flex and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Flex's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Flex, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Flex's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.66
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.51
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.46
Wall Street Target Price
31.43
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Flex based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Flex stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Flex over a specific investment horizon. Using Flex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flex from the perspective of Flex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Flex using Flex's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Flex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Flex's stock price.

Flex Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Flex's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Flex. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Flex stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Flex may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Flex and may potentially protect profits, hedge Flex with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
26.6052
Short Percent
0.0183
Short Ratio
1.43
Shares Short Prior Month
6.4 M
50 Day MA
26.7578

Flex Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Flex's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Flex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Flex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Flex. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Flex's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Flex.

Flex Implied Volatility

    
  31.55  
Flex's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Flex stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Flex's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Flex stock will not fluctuate a lot when Flex's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Flex. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Flex to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Flex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Flex after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Flex contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Flex will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.97% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Flex trading at USD 28.61, that is roughly USD 0.56 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Flex's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Flex options at the current volatility level of 31.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Flex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Flex Stock please use our How to Invest in Flex guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.7531.3233.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.4829.7832.08
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.8832.8336.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.630.550.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Flex. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Flex's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Flex's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Flex.

Flex After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Flex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Flex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Flex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flex's historical news coverage. Flex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.31 and 30.91, respectively. We have considered Flex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.61
28.61
After-hype Price
30.91
Upside
Flex is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flex is based on 3 months time horizon.

Flex Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.45 
2.32
  0.05 
  0.08 
11 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.61
28.61
0.00 
1,933  
Notes

Flex Hype Timeline

Flex is currently traded for 28.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Flex is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on Flex is about 1318.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.53. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Flex was currently reported as 13.96. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.97. Flex had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1327:1000 split on the 3rd of January 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Flex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Flex Stock please use our How to Invest in Flex guide.

Flex Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Flex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flex's future price movements. Getting to know how Flex rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Flex Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Flex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Flex Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Flex stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Flex, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Flex based on analysis of Flex hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Flex's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Flex's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio0.40.57
Price Earnings Ratio11.8621.53

Story Coverage note for Flex

The number of cover stories for Flex depends on current market conditions and Flex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Flex Short Properties

Flex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding462 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.3 B
When determining whether Flex offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Flex's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Flex Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Flex Stock:
Check out Flex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Flex Stock please use our How to Invest in Flex guide.
Note that the Flex information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Flex's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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Is Flex's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flex. If investors know Flex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flex listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Earnings Share
1.68
Revenue Per Share
66.374
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Return On Assets
0.0425
The market value of Flex is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flex's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flex's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flex's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flex's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.