Gaming Leisure Properties Stock Price Prediction
| GLPI Stock | USD 42.03 0.07 0.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Gaming Leisure Properties stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gaming Leisure shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gaming Leisure's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gaming Leisure and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gaming Leisure's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gaming Leisure Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gaming Leisure's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.051 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.69 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.88 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.97 | Wall Street Target Price 53.27 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gaming Leisure based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gaming stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gaming Leisure over a specific investment horizon. Using Gaming Leisure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gaming Leisure Properties from the perspective of Gaming Leisure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gaming Leisure using Gaming Leisure's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gaming using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gaming Leisure's stock price.
Gaming Leisure Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Gaming Leisure's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gaming. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gaming Leisure stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Gaming Leisure may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gaming Leisure and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gaming Leisure with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 46.5208 | Short Percent 0.0227 | Short Ratio 3.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 45.183 |
Gaming Leisure Properties Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gaming Leisure's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gaming. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gaming can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gaming Leisure Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gaming Leisure's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gaming Leisure.
Gaming Leisure Implied Volatility | 261.42 |
Gaming Leisure's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gaming Leisure Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gaming Leisure's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gaming Leisure stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gaming Leisure's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gaming Leisure. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gaming Leisure to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gaming because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gaming Leisure after-hype prediction price | USD 42.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gaming contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gaming Leisure Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 16.34% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Gaming Leisure trading at USD 42.03, that is roughly USD 6.87 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gaming Leisure's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gaming Leisure Properties options at the current volatility level of 261.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Gaming |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gaming Leisure's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gaming Leisure After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gaming Leisure at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gaming Leisure or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gaming Leisure, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gaming Leisure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gaming Leisure's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gaming Leisure's historical news coverage. Gaming Leisure's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.86 and 43.20, respectively. We have considered Gaming Leisure's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gaming Leisure is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gaming Leisure Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gaming Leisure Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gaming Leisure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gaming Leisure backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gaming Leisure, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
42.03 | 42.03 | 0.00 |
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Gaming Leisure Hype Timeline
Gaming Leisure Properties is currently traded for 42.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Gaming is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gaming Leisure is about 579.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.06. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gaming Leisure was currently reported as 15.34. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Gaming Leisure Properties had 1:1 split on the 13th of November 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Gaming Leisure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gaming Leisure Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gaming Leisure's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gaming Leisure's future price movements. Getting to know how Gaming Leisure's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gaming Leisure may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VICI | VICI Properties | 0.29 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.28 | (1.66) | 8.77 | |
| SRC | Spirit Realty Capital | 1.06 | 8 per month | 0.93 | 0.17 | 3.17 | (2.02) | 8.33 | |
| BRX | Brixmor Property | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.04 | (2.03) | 8.12 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.90 | (2.74) | 7.18 | |
| CUBE | CubeSmart | (0.46) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.84 | (2.69) | 10.46 |
Gaming Leisure Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gaming price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gaming using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gaming charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gaming Leisure Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gaming Leisure stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gaming Leisure Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gaming Leisure based on analysis of Gaming Leisure hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gaming Leisure's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gaming Leisure's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0553 | 0.0586 | 0.064 | 0.0793 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.42 | 10.04 | 9.05 | 11.24 |
Story Coverage note for Gaming Leisure
The number of cover stories for Gaming Leisure depends on current market conditions and Gaming Leisure's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gaming Leisure is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gaming Leisure's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gaming Leisure Short Properties
Gaming Leisure's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gaming Leisure's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gaming Leisure Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gaming Leisure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gaming Leisure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 265 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 684 M |
Check out Gaming Leisure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Gaming Stock analysis
When running Gaming Leisure's price analysis, check to measure Gaming Leisure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gaming Leisure is operating at the current time. Most of Gaming Leisure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gaming Leisure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gaming Leisure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gaming Leisure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gaming Leisure's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaming Leisure. If investors know Gaming will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaming Leisure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.051 | Dividend Share 2.9 | Earnings Share 2.77 | Revenue Per Share 5.455 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
The market value of Gaming Leisure Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaming that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaming Leisure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaming Leisure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaming Leisure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaming Leisure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaming Leisure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gaming Leisure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaming Leisure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.