Horace Mann Educators Stock Price Prediction

HMN Stock  USD 36.99  0.37  1.01%   
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Horace Mann's share price is approaching 42. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Horace Mann, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

42

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Horace Mann Educators stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Horace Mann shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Horace Mann's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Horace Mann and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Horace Mann's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Horace Mann Educators, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Horace Mann's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.82
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.19
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.83
Wall Street Target Price
41
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Horace Mann based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Horace stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Horace Mann over a specific investment horizon. Using Horace Mann hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Horace Mann Educators from the perspective of Horace Mann response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Horace Mann using Horace Mann's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Horace using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Horace Mann's stock price.

Horace Mann Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Horace Mann's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Horace. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Horace Mann stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Horace Mann may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Horace Mann and may potentially protect profits, hedge Horace Mann with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
31.9438
Short Percent
0.0179
Short Ratio
2.43
Shares Short Prior Month
471.4 K
50 Day MA
35.8042

Horace Mann Educators Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Horace Mann's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Horace. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Horace can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Horace Mann Educators. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Horace Mann's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Horace Mann.

Horace Mann Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Horace Mann's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Horace Mann Educators stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Horace Mann's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Horace Mann stock will not fluctuate a lot when Horace Mann's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Horace Mann. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Horace Mann to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Horace because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Horace Mann after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Horace Mann Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Horace Mann's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.9333.4640.69
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.2131.0034.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.650.760.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Horace Mann. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Horace Mann's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Horace Mann's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Horace Mann Educators.

Horace Mann After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Horace Mann at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Horace Mann or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Horace Mann, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Horace Mann Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Horace Mann's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Horace Mann's historical news coverage. Horace Mann's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.32 and 38.38, respectively. We have considered Horace Mann's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.99
36.85
After-hype Price
38.38
Upside
Horace Mann is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Horace Mann Educators is based on 3 months time horizon.

Horace Mann Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Horace Mann is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Horace Mann backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Horace Mann, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.53
  0.14 
  0.13 
9 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.99
36.85
0.38 
246.77  
Notes

Horace Mann Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Horace Mann Educators is traded for 36.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Horace is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Horace Mann is about 266.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.86. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Horace Mann Educators has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of December 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Horace Mann Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Horace Mann Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Horace Mann's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Horace Mann's future price movements. Getting to know how Horace Mann rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Horace Mann may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Horace Mann Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Horace price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Horace using various technical indicators. When you analyze Horace charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Horace Mann Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Horace Mann stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Horace Mann Educators, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Horace Mann based on analysis of Horace Mann hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Horace Mann's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Horace Mann's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio9.5878.8930.0116.16
Short Term Coverage Ratios0.820.690.790.75

Story Coverage note for Horace Mann

The number of cover stories for Horace Mann depends on current market conditions and Horace Mann's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Horace Mann is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Horace Mann's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Horace Mann Short Properties

Horace Mann's future price predictability will typically decrease when Horace Mann's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Horace Mann Educators often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Horace Mann's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Horace Mann's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments551.9 M
When determining whether Horace Mann Educators offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Horace Mann's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Horace Mann Educators Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Horace Mann Educators Stock:
Check out Horace Mann Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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When running Horace Mann's price analysis, check to measure Horace Mann's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Horace Mann is operating at the current time. Most of Horace Mann's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Horace Mann's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Horace Mann's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Horace Mann to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Horace Mann's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Horace Mann. If investors know Horace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Horace Mann listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
1.09
Revenue Per Share
36.123
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.163
The market value of Horace Mann Educators is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Horace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Horace Mann's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Horace Mann's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Horace Mann's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Horace Mann's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horace Mann's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Horace Mann is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Horace Mann's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.