Healthcare Realty Trust Stock Price Prediction

HR Stock  USD 17.63  0.17  0.97%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Healthcare Realty's the stock price is slightly above 66. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Healthcare, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Healthcare Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Healthcare Realty and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Healthcare Realty's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Healthcare Realty Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Healthcare Realty's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.77)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.09)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.47)
Wall Street Target Price
17.81
Using Healthcare Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Healthcare Realty Trust from the perspective of Healthcare Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Healthcare Realty using Healthcare Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Healthcare using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Healthcare Realty's stock price.

Healthcare Realty Short Interest

An investor who is long Healthcare Realty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Healthcare Realty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Healthcare Realty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
15.4172
Short Percent
0.07
Short Ratio
3.54
Shares Short Prior Month
14.5 M
50 Day MA
16.4846

Healthcare Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Healthcare Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Healthcare. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Healthcare can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Healthcare Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Healthcare Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Healthcare Realty.

Healthcare Realty Implied Volatility

    
  38.63  
Healthcare Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Healthcare Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Healthcare Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Healthcare Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Healthcare Realty's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Healthcare Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Healthcare because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Healthcare Realty after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Healthcare Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.8719.1620.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.3617.6818.99
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.9018.5720.61
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.13-0.090.02
Details

Healthcare Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Healthcare Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Healthcare Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Healthcare Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Healthcare Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Healthcare Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Healthcare Realty's historical news coverage. Healthcare Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.21 and 18.85, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.63
17.53
After-hype Price
18.85
Upside
Healthcare Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Healthcare Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Healthcare Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Healthcare Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Healthcare Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Healthcare Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.38 
1.33
  0.10 
  0.05 
10 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.63
17.53
0.57 
492.59  
Notes

Healthcare Realty Hype Timeline

As of July 23, 2024 Healthcare Realty Trust is listed for 17.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Healthcare is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Healthcare Realty is about 1108.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.58. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Healthcare Realty Trust recorded a loss per share of 1.33. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of May 2024. The firm had 1:2 split on the 16th of December 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Healthcare Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Healthcare Realty Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Healthcare Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Healthcare Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Healthcare Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Healthcare Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Healthcare Realty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Healthcare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Healthcare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Healthcare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Healthcare Realty Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Healthcare Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Healthcare Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Healthcare Realty based on analysis of Healthcare Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Healthcare Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Healthcare Realty's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03890.290.07230.0796
Price To Sales Ratio8.445.214.867.9

Story Coverage note for Healthcare Realty

The number of cover stories for Healthcare Realty depends on current market conditions and Healthcare Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Healthcare Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Healthcare Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Healthcare Realty Short Properties

Healthcare Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Healthcare Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Healthcare Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Healthcare Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding383.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.7 M

Additional Tools for Healthcare Stock Analysis

When running Healthcare Realty's price analysis, check to measure Healthcare Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Healthcare Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Healthcare Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Healthcare Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Healthcare Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Healthcare Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.