Hormel Foods Stock Price Prediction
| HRL Stock | USD 34.04 0.23 0.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Hormel Foods stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hormel Foods shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hormel Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hormel Foods and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hormel Foods' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hormel Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hormel Foods based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hormel stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hormel Foods over a specific investment horizon. Using Hormel Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hormel Foods from the perspective of Hormel Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hormel Foods. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hormel Foods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hormel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hormel Foods after-hype prediction price | USD 34.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hormel |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hormel Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hormel Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hormel Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hormel Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hormel Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hormel Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hormel Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hormel Foods' historical news coverage. Hormel Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.79 and 36.29, respectively. We have considered Hormel Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hormel Foods is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hormel Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hormel Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hormel Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hormel Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hormel Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.04 | 34.04 | 0.00 |
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Hormel Foods Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 Hormel Foods is traded for 34.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hormel is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hormel Foods is about 19687.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.04. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Hormel Foods was currently reported as 14.33. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.96. Hormel Foods last dividend was issued on the 12th of April 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 10th of February 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Hormel Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hormel Foods Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hormel Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hormel Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Hormel Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hormel Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPB | Campbell Soup | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | (0.02) | 1.79 | (2.45) | 5.34 | |
| GIS | General Mills | 0.76 | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.07 | 2.02 | (1.96) | 5.31 | |
| K | Kellanova | (0.45) | 10 per month | 1.21 | (0.02) | 2.17 | (1.96) | 4.97 | |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.64 | (2.65) | 22.66 | |
| SJM | JM Smucker | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.93 | (2.43) | 5.58 | |
| CAG | ConAgra Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.27 | (2.17) | 7.74 | |
| KHC | Kraft Heinz Co | (0.39) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.69 | (1.75) | 7.15 |
Hormel Foods Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hormel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hormel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hormel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hormel Foods Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hormel Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hormel Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hormel Foods based on analysis of Hormel Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hormel Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hormel Foods's related companies. Story Coverage note for Hormel Foods
The number of cover stories for Hormel Foods depends on current market conditions and Hormel Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hormel Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hormel Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hormel Foods Short Properties
Hormel Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hormel Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hormel Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hormel Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hormel Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 549 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 753.2 M |
Check out Hormel Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Hormel Stock please use our How to buy in Hormel Stock guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Hormel Stock analysis
When running Hormel Foods' price analysis, check to measure Hormel Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hormel Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Hormel Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hormel Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hormel Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hormel Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hormel Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hormel Foods. If investors know Hormel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hormel Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hormel Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hormel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hormel Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hormel Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hormel Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hormel Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hormel Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hormel Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hormel Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.