Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Price Prediction
| IDN Stock | USD 3.18 0.02 0.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Intellicheck Mobilisa stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Intellicheck Mobilisa shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Intellicheck Mobilisa and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Intellicheck Mobilisa's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intellicheck Mobilisa, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.622 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.09 | Wall Street Target Price 4.13 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Intellicheck Mobilisa based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Intellicheck stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intellicheck Mobilisa over a specific investment horizon. Using Intellicheck Mobilisa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intellicheck Mobilisa from the perspective of Intellicheck Mobilisa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intellicheck Mobilisa using Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intellicheck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock price.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Implied Volatility | 87.77 |
Intellicheck Mobilisa's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intellicheck Mobilisa stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intellicheck Mobilisa's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intellicheck Mobilisa stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intellicheck Mobilisa's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Intellicheck Mobilisa. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intellicheck Mobilisa to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intellicheck because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Intellicheck Mobilisa after-hype prediction price | USD 3.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Intellicheck |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intellicheck Mobilisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intellicheck Mobilisa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intellicheck Mobilisa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intellicheck Mobilisa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intellicheck Mobilisa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intellicheck Mobilisa's historical news coverage. Intellicheck Mobilisa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 13.80, respectively. We have considered Intellicheck Mobilisa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intellicheck Mobilisa is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intellicheck Mobilisa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intellicheck Mobilisa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intellicheck Mobilisa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intellicheck Mobilisa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.37 | 10.67 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.18 | 3.13 | 1.57 |
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Intellicheck Mobilisa Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Intellicheck Mobilisa is traded for 3.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Intellicheck is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.37%. The volatility of related hype on Intellicheck Mobilisa is about 48153.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.15. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Intellicheck Mobilisa was currently reported as 0.89. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.1. Intellicheck Mobilisa had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 13th of August 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Intellicheck Mobilisa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intellicheck Mobilisa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price movements. Getting to know how Intellicheck Mobilisa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intellicheck Mobilisa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intellicheck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intellicheck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intellicheck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Intellicheck Mobilisa Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Intellicheck Mobilisa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intellicheck Mobilisa, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intellicheck Mobilisa based on analysis of Intellicheck Mobilisa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intellicheck Mobilisa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intellicheck Mobilisa's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003093 | 0.002006 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.93 | 1.84 |
Story Coverage note for Intellicheck Mobilisa
The number of cover stories for Intellicheck Mobilisa depends on current market conditions and Intellicheck Mobilisa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intellicheck Mobilisa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intellicheck Mobilisa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Intellicheck Mobilisa Short Properties
Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intellicheck Mobilisa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intellicheck Mobilisa often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intellicheck Mobilisa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellicheck Mobilisa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9 M |
Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Intellicheck Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intellicheck Mobilisa guide.Note that the Intellicheck Mobilisa information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Intellicheck Mobilisa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Intellicheck Stock analysis
When running Intellicheck Mobilisa's price analysis, check to measure Intellicheck Mobilisa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intellicheck Mobilisa is operating at the current time. Most of Intellicheck Mobilisa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intellicheck Mobilisa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intellicheck Mobilisa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Intellicheck Mobilisa's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intellicheck Mobilisa. If investors know Intellicheck will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intellicheck Mobilisa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.622 | Earnings Share (0.10) | Revenue Per Share 0.982 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.137 | Return On Assets (0.05) |
The market value of Intellicheck Mobilisa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intellicheck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intellicheck Mobilisa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intellicheck Mobilisa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intellicheck Mobilisa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intellicheck Mobilisa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intellicheck Mobilisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intellicheck Mobilisa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intellicheck Mobilisa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.