Japan OTC Stock Future Price Prediction

JPPHY
 Stock
  

USD 7.10  0.04  0.57%   

Japan Post Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Japan Post shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Japan Post's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Japan Post and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Japan Post's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Japan Post Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Japan Post Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Japan Post based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Japan stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Japan Post over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.81
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.097
Using Japan Post hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Japan Post Holdings from the perspective of Japan Post response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Japan Post. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Japan Post to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Japan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Japan Post after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 7.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Japan Post's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Japan Post in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.776.798.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.217.239.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.797.097.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Japan Post. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Japan Post's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Japan Post's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Japan Post Holdings.

Japan Post After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Japan Post at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Japan Post or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Japan Post, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Japan Post Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Japan Post's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Japan Post's historical news coverage. Japan Post's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.08 and 9.12, respectively. We have considered Japan Post's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 7.10
7.10
After-hype Price
9.12
Upside
Japan Post is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Japan Post Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Japan Post OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Japan Post is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Japan Post backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Japan Post, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03  2.02  0.00   0.00  5 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.107.100.00 
0.00  

Japan Post Hype Timeline

Japan Post Holdings is currently traded for 7.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Japan forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Japan Post is about 2885.71%. The volatility of related hype on Japan Post is about 2885.71% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.1. The company next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 29th of March 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Please see Japan Post Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Japan Post Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Japan Post's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Japan Post's future price movements. Getting to know how Japan Post rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Japan Post may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OMWSOmnia Wellness(0.07) 1 per month 11.68  0.14  53.85 (33.33)  143.71 

Japan Post Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Japan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Japan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Japan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Japan Post Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Japan Post stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Japan Post Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Japan Post based on analysis of Japan Post hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Japan Post's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Japan Post's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Japan Post

The number of cover stories for Japan Post depends on current market conditions and Japan Post's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Japan Post is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Japan Post's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Japan Post Short Properties

Japan Post's future price predictability will typically decrease when Japan Post's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Japan Post Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Japan Post's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Japan Post's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate50.00
Float Shares2.33B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.25k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.66k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield720.46%
Please see Japan Post Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Japan Post Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Japan Post's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Japan OTC Stock analysis

When running Japan Post Holdings price analysis, check to measure Japan Post's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Japan Post is operating at the current time. Most of Japan Post's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Japan Post's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Japan Post's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Japan Post to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Japan Post's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Japan Post. If investors know Japan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Japan Post listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.81
Market Capitalization
26.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.097
Return On Assets
0.0021
Return On Equity
0.0402
The market value of Japan Post Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Japan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Japan Post's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Japan Post's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Japan Post's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Japan Post's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Japan Post's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Japan Post value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Japan Post's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.