Grand Canyon Education Stock Price Prediction
| LOPE Stock | USD 128.70 0.24 0.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Grand Canyon Education stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Grand Canyon shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Grand Canyon's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grand Canyon and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grand Canyon's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grand Canyon Education, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Grand Canyon's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.176 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.22 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.53 | Wall Street Target Price 158.33 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Grand Canyon based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Grand stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Grand Canyon over a specific investment horizon. Using Grand Canyon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grand Canyon Education from the perspective of Grand Canyon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Grand Canyon using Grand Canyon's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Grand using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Grand Canyon's stock price.
Grand Canyon Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Grand Canyon's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Grand. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Grand Canyon stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Grand Canyon may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Grand Canyon and may potentially protect profits, hedge Grand Canyon with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 124.7712 | Short Percent 0.014 | Short Ratio 2.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 503.1 K | 50 Day MA 132.6282 |
Grand Canyon Education Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Grand Canyon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Grand. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Grand can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Grand Canyon Education. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Grand Canyon's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Grand Canyon.
Grand Canyon Implied Volatility | 42.04 |
Grand Canyon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Grand Canyon Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Grand Canyon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Grand Canyon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Grand Canyon's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Grand Canyon. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grand Canyon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grand because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Grand Canyon after-hype prediction price | USD 128.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Grand contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Grand Canyon Education will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.63% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Grand Canyon trading at USD 128.7, that is roughly USD 3.38 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Grand Canyon's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Grand Canyon Education options at the current volatility level of 42.04%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Grand |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grand Canyon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grand Canyon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grand Canyon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grand Canyon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grand Canyon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grand Canyon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grand Canyon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grand Canyon's historical news coverage. Grand Canyon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 127.86 and 130.00, respectively. We have considered Grand Canyon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grand Canyon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grand Canyon Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grand Canyon Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grand Canyon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grand Canyon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grand Canyon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.06 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
128.70 | 128.93 | 0.01 |
|
Grand Canyon Hype Timeline
Grand Canyon Education is now traded for 128.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Grand is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 128.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Grand Canyon is about 447.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 128.69. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. Grand Canyon Education recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.8. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Grand Canyon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Grand Canyon Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grand Canyon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grand Canyon's future price movements. Getting to know how Grand Canyon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grand Canyon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.01 | 5.34 | (3.56) | 13.66 | |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | (0.60) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.64 | (3.57) | 23.85 | |
| ARCE | Arco Platform | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.22 | (0.21) | 0.87 | |
| STRA | Strategic Education | (1.32) | 11 per month | 1.29 | 0.02 | 1.86 | (2.05) | 19.76 | |
| LAUR | Laureate Education | 0.02 | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.06 | 2.00 | (2.18) | 8.19 | |
| AFYA | Afya | 0.10 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.58 | (3.52) | 11.95 | |
| BEDU | Bright Scholar Education | (0.09) | 4 per month | 4.67 | 0.08 | 8.50 | (9.44) | 44.96 | |
| UTI | Universal Technical Institute | 0.32 | 11 per month | 2.39 | 0 | 3.45 | (3.12) | 18.42 | |
| APEI | American Public Education | (0.45) | 11 per month | 3.75 | 0.05 | 8.03 | (6.81) | 49.40 |
Grand Canyon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grand price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grand using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grand charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Grand Canyon Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Grand Canyon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grand Canyon Education, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grand Canyon based on analysis of Grand Canyon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grand Canyon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grand Canyon's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 7.13E-4 | 8.2E-4 | 7.79E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.19 | 4.12 | 2.78 |
Story Coverage note for Grand Canyon
The number of cover stories for Grand Canyon depends on current market conditions and Grand Canyon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grand Canyon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grand Canyon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Grand Canyon Short Properties
Grand Canyon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Grand Canyon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grand Canyon Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grand Canyon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grand Canyon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 244.5 M |
Check out Grand Canyon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Grand Stock analysis
When running Grand Canyon's price analysis, check to measure Grand Canyon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand Canyon is operating at the current time. Most of Grand Canyon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand Canyon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand Canyon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand Canyon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators |
Is Grand Canyon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grand Canyon. If investors know Grand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grand Canyon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.176 | Earnings Share 6.8 | Revenue Per Share 32.04 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.076 | Return On Assets 0.1767 |
The market value of Grand Canyon Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grand Canyon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grand Canyon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grand Canyon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grand Canyon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grand Canyon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grand Canyon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grand Canyon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.