Lightpath Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| LPTH Stock | USD 1.45 0.01 0.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
LightPath Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of LightPath Technologies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of LightPath Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LightPath Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LightPath Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LightPath Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LightPath Technologies' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 49.113 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.09) | Wall Street Target Price 3 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of LightPath Technologies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The LightPath stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on LightPath Technologies over a specific investment horizon. Using LightPath Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LightPath Technologies from the perspective of LightPath Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in LightPath Technologies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LightPath Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LightPath because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LightPath Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 1.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LightPath |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LightPath Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LightPath Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LightPath Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LightPath Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LightPath Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LightPath Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LightPath Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LightPath Technologies' historical news coverage. LightPath Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 4.96, respectively. We have considered LightPath Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LightPath Technologies is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LightPath Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
LightPath Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LightPath Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LightPath Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LightPath Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 3.52 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.45 | 1.44 | 0.00 |
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LightPath Technologies Hype Timeline
LightPath Technologies is now traded for 1.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. LightPath is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on LightPath Technologies is about 1576.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.48. About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LightPath Technologies recorded a loss per share of 0.13. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:8 split on the 4th of March 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out LightPath Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LightPath Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LightPath Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LightPath Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how LightPath Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LightPath Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMS | Maximus | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.39 | (0.05) | 2.40 | (1.92) | 7.92 | |
| NTIP | Network 1 Technologies | 0.04 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.86 | (2.78) | 9.00 | |
| FA | First Advantage Corp | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.10 | (2.26) | 9.83 | |
| BV | BrightView Holdings | 0.32 | 11 per month | 1.53 | 0.16 | 4.39 | (2.55) | 10.83 | |
| CVEO | Civeo Corp | 0.16 | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.08 | 3.59 | (2.73) | 7.89 | |
| AZZ | AZZ Incorporated | 0.39 | 12 per month | 1.23 | 0.19 | 3.60 | (2.52) | 10.90 | |
| CASS | Cass Information Systems | (0.11) | 6 per month | 1.74 | 0.02 | 2.87 | (2.35) | 16.34 | |
| CBZ | CBIZ Inc | 1.03 | 11 per month | 1.38 | 0.12 | 2.18 | (2.96) | 11.93 | |
| RTO | Rentokil Initial PLC | (0.04) | 10 per month | 2.53 | (0.01) | 2.96 | (3.25) | 21.31 |
LightPath Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LightPath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LightPath using various technical indicators. When you analyze LightPath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LightPath Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LightPath Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LightPath Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LightPath Technologies based on analysis of LightPath Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LightPath Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LightPath Technologies's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 7.69E-4 | 6.84E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.49 | 1.42 |
Story Coverage note for LightPath Technologies
The number of cover stories for LightPath Technologies depends on current market conditions and LightPath Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LightPath Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LightPath Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LightPath Technologies Short Properties
LightPath Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when LightPath Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LightPath Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LightPath Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LightPath Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 M |
Check out LightPath Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in LightPath Stock please use our How to Invest in LightPath Technologies guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for LightPath Stock analysis
When running LightPath Technologies' price analysis, check to measure LightPath Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LightPath Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of LightPath Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LightPath Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LightPath Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LightPath Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LightPath Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LightPath Technologies. If investors know LightPath will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LightPath Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 49.113 | Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share 0.883 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets (0.06) |
The market value of LightPath Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LightPath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LightPath Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LightPath Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LightPath Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LightPath Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LightPath Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LightPath Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LightPath Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.