Lsi Industries Stock Price Prediction
| LYTS Stock | USD 13.99 0.02 0.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
LSI Industries stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of LSI Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of LSI Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LSI Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LSI Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LSI Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LSI Industries' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.16 | Wall Street Target Price 19.33 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of LSI Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The LSI stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on LSI Industries over a specific investment horizon. Using LSI Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LSI Industries from the perspective of LSI Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LSI Industries using LSI Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LSI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LSI Industries' stock price.
LSI Industries Implied Volatility | 160.64 |
LSI Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LSI Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LSI Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LSI Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when LSI Industries' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in LSI Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LSI Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LSI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LSI Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 13.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LSI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LSI Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LSI Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LSI Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LSI Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LSI Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LSI Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LSI Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LSI Industries' historical news coverage. LSI Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.15 and 15.83, respectively. We have considered LSI Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LSI Industries is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LSI Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
LSI Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LSI Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LSI Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LSI Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.84 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.99 | 13.99 | 0.00 |
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LSI Industries Hype Timeline
LSI Industries is now traded for 13.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. LSI is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on LSI Industries is about 187.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.95. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of LSI Industries was now reported as 6.87. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.39. LSI Industries last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2024. The entity had 5:4 split on the 17th of November 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out LSI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LSI Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LSI Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LSI Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how LSI Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LSI Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.49 | (3.25) | 10.44 | |
| SANM | Sanmina | 0.22 | 11 per month | 2.25 | 0.06 | 2.99 | (2.98) | 36.05 | |
| JBL | Jabil Circuit | 2.39 | 11 per month | 3.30 | 0.01 | 2.98 | (2.23) | 21.31 | |
| FLEX | Flex | 0.28 | 10 per month | 1.43 | 0.12 | 4.25 | (2.47) | 10.05 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | (0.31) | 12 per month | 1.80 | 0.07 | 3.16 | (3.29) | 14.66 | |
| MEI | Methode Electronics | 0.09 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.76 | (4.87) | 34.92 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | (1.00) | 11 per month | 1.62 | 0.05 | 2.47 | (2.11) | 9.40 | |
| CLS | Celestica | 1.80 | 10 per month | 2.13 | 0.19 | 6.51 | (3.74) | 17.58 | |
| FN | Fabrinet | (10.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.53 | (5.96) | 23.95 | |
| APH | Amphenol | (2.95) | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.15 | 1.98 | (1.63) | 4.99 |
LSI Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LSI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LSI using various technical indicators. When you analyze LSI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LSI Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LSI Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LSI Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LSI Industries based on analysis of LSI Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LSI Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LSI Industries's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0316 | 0.0154 | 0.0139 | 0.0206 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.37 | 0.71 | 0.82 | 0.87 |
Story Coverage note for LSI Industries
The number of cover stories for LSI Industries depends on current market conditions and LSI Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LSI Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LSI Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LSI Industries Short Properties
LSI Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when LSI Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LSI Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LSI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LSI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Check out LSI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy LSI Stock please use our How to Invest in LSI Industries guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for LSI Stock analysis
When running LSI Industries' price analysis, check to measure LSI Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LSI Industries is operating at the current time. Most of LSI Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LSI Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LSI Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LSI Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LSI Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LSI Industries. If investors know LSI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LSI Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share 0.91 | Revenue Per Share 16.538 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of LSI Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LSI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LSI Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LSI Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LSI Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LSI Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LSI Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LSI Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LSI Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.